Cita Mineral Investindo Tbk.

Naik guyur
$CITA

@michaeljamesbio Trims bro, GBU too! $CITA nya ga kompak padahal dikit lagi bisa jadi trisula Mbappe Messi Ronaldo 🤣🤣🙏

Goodbye 2025

$CDIA $CBDK $CITA

Mengintip Isi Dompet "Bandar": Rahasia di Balik Lonjakan Saham yang Tiba-tiba
Pernahkah Anda merasa seperti "pemain terakhir" yang mengetahui sebuah saham akan naik? Ketika Anda baru saja membeli, harga justru sering kali mulai turun. Hal ini terjadi karena Anda melihat harga, sementara para profesional melihat arus uang. Faktanya, pemain besar atau Smart Money selalu meninggalkan jejak berupa lonjakan volume yang tidak wajar sebelum harga benar-benar meroket. Mereka membeli secara halus dalam jumlah masif, menciptakan pola akumulasi yang sering kali tidak kasat mata bagi investor ritel yang hanya mengandalkan indikator teknikal standar.

Di sinilah Trigger Smart Money berperan sebagai "detektor rahasia" bagi Anda. Tools ini dirancang khusus untuk membedah setiap transaksi di Bursa Efek Indonesia secara real-time, mendeteksi lonjakan volume hingga 5 kali lipat dari biasanya. Berbeda dengan metode lama yang sering terlambat, sistem ini mampu melakukan filter Money Flow untuk memastikan apakah uang tersebut benar-benar masuk (akumulasi) atau justru sedang keluar (distribusi). Dengan data langsung dari Trade Done, Anda tidak lagi terjebak pada sinyal palsu yang sering menyesatkan di pasar saham.

Menggunakan tools ini berarti Anda memiliki radar intelijen digital yang bekerja tanpa henti. Anda bisa mendeteksi pergerakan dana besar saat mereka masih dalam fase "belanja diam-diam", bukan saat harga sudah terbang tinggi. Inilah saatnya berhenti menjadi penonton dan mulai bergerak searah dengan para raksasa pasar. Jangan biarkan modal Anda habis hanya karena buta terhadap pergerakan uang besar; gunakan teknologi yang memberikan Anda pandangan jernih di tengah keruhnya pasar saham.
$CITA $MSJA

@adhimaulana di China, rata rata cost produksi alumina berapa?? harga alumina saat ini berapa? apakah sudah mulai banyak yg rugi dan mulai ngurangi prod alumina???

$CITA

broksum $CITA menarik nih nanti dilihat.. broker mana yang hari ini berani2nya lawan AF.. 😂😂

$CITA asli barang kering banget, mau dibuat ara berminggu2 gampang asal pengendali ga jualan

mulai dah AF mentungin yang angkat $CITA tadi.. 😂😂 repot emg diangkat mesti dipentungin.. guyur..

memang ga salah mendiang opa 1 ini... legend bukan sembarang naga 🫶

$ADMR $CITA $HRTA

$CITA jangan lupa di TP kaka, ntar duluan AF yg TP 😅😅

ehm ehm.. uhuk uhuk.. $ADMR udh jalan tuh ndar $CITA, masa $CITA nya nggak diajak ndar?

Bukan ajakan jual-beli-hold.

@nabilla1992 nunggu smelter aluminium $ADRO mulai produksi, harapannya semoga demand alumina naik dan harga alumina ikut naik

$CITA

@nabilla1992 nunggu $CITA ke 10.000

Holder $CITA nunggu apa kalian? wkwkk

@teguhariyanto 'DIjaga vs Trading' secara gameplay beda.
kalo DIJAGA, contoh seperti emiten prajogo kalo harga sedang di push high hingga tembus resistence baru with new ATH maka otomatis muncul area support baru. dilevel support inilah MM akan konsisten 'jaga' harganya. maka kalo ada org yg ngarep BRPT crash dibawah 2.800. CUAN crash 1.600. its almost imposible. asal bukan MAJOR CRASH.

Kalo "Trading" misal, ada good news harga spike. insider bukannya push high malah TP. tunggu asing vs ritel bertarung dipucuk, harga anjlok ke harga support terendah, baru serok lagi. Ulangi.
Contoh viral saham DADA, harga dari 20 perak dipush ke 300. insider TP pucuk, ritel gakuat nampung harga ambles ke 50. baru insider serok lagi. Ulangi.

$NCKL sudah dipush dari 700 - 1.370. ambles ke 950.
seharusnya kalo memang MM mau JAGA, 1.250 itu support keras. atau 1.100 - 1.000 tapi jebol semua karna tidak ada yg mau MENJAGA.

$CITA, sudah dipush dari 3.850 - 5.900 ambles lagi kan ke 4.200. cek aja siapa top seller nya 🤭

"Harga ngga naik dulu" ya gabakal naik bro. harga spike dikit langsung TP kok. dan kalo nckl suatu saat tembus 1.350 inisih ga NAIK. back to level aja. recovery setelah kena aksi profit taking masal.

Choose your Alumunium Stock Fighter for 2026. 😎

$CITA $ALKA $INAI

@trixffel potensi kemungkinan penambahan cash flow kedepan dari dividen dari kepemilikan $CITA 12.5% di smelter aluminium KAI dan kepemilikan 16% pembangkit listrik kaltara power Indonesia apakah sudah di perhitungankan?

dan semoga harga alumina naik dari bertambahnya demand alumina dari project smelter aluminium kapasitas 1.5jt ton $ADRO $ADMR

CITA CITA $CITA

@Irenata ada, $NCKL dan $CITA . insider malah rajin trading disini. buy low sell high. pelit gamau push/goreng ke harga premium trade

$CITA dan $PGJO satu flow supply nya

yang satu AF yg satu SQ

Kemarin baru 3 poin yang saya sebutkan. Kalau kelas sudah bunyi juta atau puluhan juta, yang saya expect ada di dalam materi selain yg 3 kemarin antara lain:

*corporate life cycle.
*how to estimate growth for different industries.
*tentang moat (competitive advantage). Apa saja dan how to spot them?
*tentang business model: beberapa contoh yg populer, pro and cons,
*konsep time value of money dan money value of time.
*psikologi: cognitive bias dan mental model.
*dll.

Banyak amat mintanya bayar cm seiprit? Lha di Stockbit aja ini semua ada dan gratis koq. Bayarnya cuma pakai doa saja. 🤣


$CITA $BBCA $MTDL

$NCKL $CITA. kenapa AF (Harita Kencana Sekuritas) top sell nya tahun ini emiten grup nya sendiri

Catalyst saham $CITA dan $ADMR adalah ramp up dari smelter aluminium KAI. Risikonya adalah bila jadwal operasional mundur.

Tinggal 5 hari sebelum 2025 berakhir. Sepertinya akan mundur ke q1 2026.

Kalo saya adalah value investor, saya akan cicil beli saham dari sekarang. Karena saat smelter sudah jalan, semua akan FOMO beli saham2 ini.

@fikrikawakibi Begini bro analisa $CITA

Yang saya sukai, bisnisnya memiliki runway yang cukup panjang, dengan profitability yang bagus.

Yang saya kurang sukai:

Saat ini kapasitas produksi bauksitnya bergantung pada kapasitas produksi WHW. Kalau kapasitas produksi WHW sudah mentok di 2 juta ton, maka hanya ada 2 kemungkinan untuk meningkatkan revenue dan laba, yaitu:
*Harga alumina naik.
*Cost of revenue WHW turun.

Kalau hanya bergantung pada efficiency, perusahaan manapun akan ada batas maksimalnya. Jadi bakal mentok suatu saat. Jadi investor hanya bisa berharap pada harga alumina yang naik.

Betul bahwa seiring berjalannya waktu, harga alumina bisa diharapkan untuk naik. Tp dalam jangka waktu pendek dan menengah, supply alumina Indonesia akan banjir karena kemampuan serapnya oleh produsen aluminium masih rendah. Jadi prediksi saya harga alumina masih akan stabil2 aja di harga saat ini.

Lalu struktur usaha nya CITA juga agak gimana gitu. Dia punya WHW 30%, sehingga masuk sebagai non- operating income. Cashflow nya hanya harap dividend dari WHW, yg mana hanya sekian persen dari FCF WHW itu. Andaikata dia jadi pengendali WHW, lain deh ceritanya.

Kira-kira demikian bro isi pikiran saya 🙏

mana nih yg waktu itu pernah ngira dividen interim $ADRO cuma 34/lembar, bahkan ada yg ngomong "gak akan bagi dividen"😂

hey, FYI ADRO itu punya kepemilikan di $CITA melalui anak usaha.

ADRO melalui anak usaha mengendalikan AIA (Alamtri Indo Alumunium) saham nya di kendalikan oleh ADMR, AIA membeli ~3,7 % saham CITA, jadi secara tidak langsung ADRO juga terasosiasi dengan posisi tersebut via AIA/ADMR.

CITA punya juga kepemilikan 12,5% di PT Kalimantan Alumunium Industry (anak usaha $ADMR)

sedangkan ADMR adalah anak usaha ADRO yg mayoritas saham nya di kendalikan oleh ADRO.

ADRO (MASIH PUNYA SAHAM DI AADI) & (JADI PENGENDALI ADMR) > ADMR (PENGENDALI AIA) > AIA (PENGENDALI KAI) & AIA (PUNYA SAHAM DI CITA 3,7%) > CITA (PUNYA SAHAM DI KAI 12,5%).

jadi gimana, dividen ADRO setelah spin off masih menarik kan..?😂

kalo bisa sabar, pasti dapet capital gain nya juga.

@caturfebryy udah nyerok di harga brp lu njing?
$UNVR $SGER $CITA

Konglo PP done
Konglo Bakrie X Salim done
Kongli H Isam done
Kinglo HH done
Apa mungkin skrg giliran Konglo Harita Group? $TIRT
$NCKL
$CITA

$ADRO

nutup gap atas
aluminium mulai jualan


$ADMR
$CITA

$INET $MBSS $CITA

What Seth Klarman said about Top-down and Bottom-Up Approach

There are three central elements to a value-investment philosophy.
1. Value investing is a bottom-up strategy entailing the identification of specific undervalued investment opportunities.
2. Value investing is absolute-performance-, not relative performance oriented.
3. Value investing is a risk-averse approach; attention is paid as much to what can go wrong (risk) as to what can go right (return).

In the discussion of institutional investing, it was noted that a great many professional investors employ a top-down approach. This involves making a prediction about the future, ascertaining its investment implications, and then acting upon them. This approach is difficult and risky, being vulnerable to error at every step.

Practitioners need to accurately forecast macroeconomic conditions and then correctly interpret their impact on various sectors of the overall economy, on particular industries, and finally on specific companies. As if that were not complicated enough, it is also essential for top-down investors to perform this exercise quickly as well as accurately, or others may get there first and, through their buying or selling, cause prices to reflect the forecast macroeconomic developments, thereby eliminating the profit potential for latecomers.

By way of example, a top-down investor must be correct on the big picture (e.g., are we entering an unprecedented era of world peace and stability?), correct in drawing conclusions from that (e.g., is German reunification bullish or bearish for German interest rates and the value of the deutsche mark), correct in applying those conclusions to attractive areas of investment (e.g., buy German bonds, buy the stocks of U.S. companies with multinational presence), correct in the specific securities purchased (e.g., buy the ten-year German government bond, buy Coca-Cola), and, finally, be early in buying these securities.

The top-down investor thus faces the daunting task of predicting the unpredictable more accurately and faster than thousands of other bright people, all of them trying to do the same thing. It is not clear whether top-down investing is a greater fool game, in which you win only when someone else overpays, or a greater-genius game, winnable at best only by those few who regularly possess superior insight. In either case, it is not an attractive game for risk-averse investors.

There is no margin of safety in top-down investing. Top-down investors are not buying based on value; they are buying based on a concept, theme, or trend. There is no definable limit to the price they should pay, since value is not part of their purchase decision. It is not even clear whether top-down-oriented buyers are investors or speculators. If they buy shares in businesses that they truly believe will do well in the future, they are investing. If they buy what they believe others will soon be buying, they may actually be speculating.

Another difficulty with a top-down approach is gauging the level of expectations already reflected in a company’s current share price. If you expect a business to grow 10 percent a year based on your top-down forecast and buy its stock betting on that growth, you could lose money if the market price reflects investor expectations of 15 percent growth but a lower rate is achieved.

The expectations of others must therefore be considered as part of any top-down investment decision. By contrast, value investing employs a bottom-up strategy by which individual investment opportunities are identified one at a time through fundamental analysis. Value investors search for bargains security by security, analyzing each situation on its own merits. An investor’s top-down views are considered only insofar as they affect the valuation of securities.

Paradoxically a bottom-up strategy is in many ways simpler to implement than a top-down one. While a top-down investor must make several accurate predictions in a row, a bottom-up investor is not in the forecasting business at all. The entire strategy can be concisely described as “buy a bargain and wait.”

Investors must learn to assess value in order to know a bargain when they see one. Then they must exhibit the patience and discipline to wait until a bargain emerges from their searches and buy it, regardless of the prevailing direction of the market or their own views about the economy at large.

One significant and not necessarily obvious difference between a bottom-up and top-down strategy is the reason for maintaining cash balances at times. Bottom-up investors hold cash when they are unable to find attractive investment opportunities and put cash to work when such opportunities appear.

A bottom-up investor chooses to be fully invested only when a diversified portfolio of attractive investments is available. Top-down investors, by contrast, may attempt to time the market, something bottom-up investors do not do. Market timing involves making a judgment about the overall market direction; when top-down investors believe the market will decline, they sell stocks to hold cash, awaiting a more bullish opinion.

Another difference between the two approaches is that bottom-up investors are able to identify simply and precisely what they are betting on. The uncertainties they face are limited: what is the underlying business worth; will that underlying value endure until shareholders can benefit from its realization; what is the likelihood that the gap between price and value will narrow; and, given the current market price, what is the potential risk and reward?

Bottom-up investors can easily determine when the original reason for making an investment ceases to be valid. When the underlying value changes, when management reveals itself to be incompetent or corrupt, or when the price appreciates to more fully reflect underlying business value, a disciplined investor can reevaluate the situation and, if appropriate, sell the investment. Huge sums have been lost by investors who have held on to securities after the reason for owning them is no longer valid. In investing it is never wrong to change your mind. It is only wrong to change your mind and do nothing about it.

Top-down investors, by contrast, may find it difficult to know when their bet is no longer valid. If you invest based on a judgment that interest rates will decline but they rise instead, how and when do you decide that you were wrong? Your bet may eventually prove correct, but then again it may not. Unlike judgments about value that can easily be reaffirmed, the possible grounds for reversing an investment decision that was made based upon a top-down prediction of the future are simply not clear.

$CITA $IPCC $MDLA