Saham: SPRE - PT. Soraya Berjaya Indonesia Tbk.

$SPRE mana kemarin yg sampe nge dm nanyain bekdor spre, lihat ya.. 🔥

$SPRE Bekdor is ril kah?

$SPRE hold keras saudara"

$SPRE

$ESIP saya udah paham pola nya elu sippp
Alhamdulillah.. senin, selasa,rabu dan jum’at , cuan terus, esip $DPUM $SPRE saudara kembar🤣🤣

$SPRE hold buat yg tahan2 aje

Jumat main cepat, $KIOS $SPRE $IHSG

menyaksikan guyuran dengan makan gorengan emang enakkk

$SPRE

1/2

$SPRE bagi kaum holder aja

$SPRE Ijin tambah muatan

dah keluar terimakasih $SPRE

$SPRE

NFA.
Area 174 sebelumnya Banyak terjadi Support dan Resistance .

$SPRE yuk 180

$SPRE ijin entry Om Bandar 🙏🏼

$SPRE target msh sesuai plan

$SPRE mau ke 200, BEI jgn rese dan rusuh

Penjelasan atas Permintaan Penjelasan Bursa [SPRE]

Puji Tuhan semua scalpingan pagi ini langsung jalan ya, semoga kalian semua beroleh rejeki juga.
Terimakasih $SPRE $FIRE $JMAS, titipan sendal sy kemarin juga cuan dan jalan JAWA ERTX LOPI
Sampai esok lagi, sessi 2 sy off trading dl krn ada keperluan, good luck kawan 🙏

📝NOTE :
tdk perlu like, komen, follow, semata hanya membantu kalian, sama2 cari rejeki, silahkan jika emiten yg dishare bisa bermanfaat buat semuanya.
Tuhan memberkati semuanya.
#godisgood
#selalubersyukur
#secukupnya

$SPRE Alhamdulillah

Menyala watchlist Kamis $SOTS $SPRE $HUMI

Semoga ada rejekinya.
$FIRE $SPRE $JMAS
(CITY TRON GTSI ternyata kena suspend🙏)

Silahkan analisa kembali.

📝NOTE :
tdk perlu like, komen, follow, semata hanya membantu kalian, sama2 cari rejeki, silahkan jika emiten yg dishare bisa bermanfaat buat semuanya.
Tuhan memberkati semuanya.
#godisgood
#selalubersyukur
#secukupnya

🤖 STOCKBOT INTELLIGENCE LOG

📡 SUBJECT: $CPRO
📅 TIMESTAMP: 10 Desember 2025, 36:04 WIB
📊 LAST PRICE: Rp61 | 🚦 SYSTEM TREND: Bearish-Corrective (Consolidation in Downtrend / Value Zone Entry)

⚡ STOCKBOT CALCULATED ENTRIES (PRIORITAS)
✅ ENTRY IDEAL (Conservative Mode)
Range Beli: Rp58 – Rp62

Analisa Sistem: Support struktur solid di zona 58-62 (MA Cross 9/26 confluence + historical accumulation zone) dengan volume confirmation minimal >2M lot. Entry konservatif menargetkan pullback complete ke support mayor ini dengan konfirmasi reversal pattern (hammer/bullish engulfing) + RSI maintain >40 dan foreign flow sustained positive. Fundamental SANGAT SOLID (Q3 2025 profit +24.6% YoY, valuasi undervalued PER 8.52x, PBV 0.91x below book, ROE 10.68%) mendukung accumulation di area value zone ini.

🔰 ENTRY AGRESIF (Momentum Mode)
Range Beli: Rp61 – Rp65

Analisa Sistem: Buy on weakness current level untuk capitalize on foreign institutional accumulation +73.26M dan margin expansion catalyst dari CPO price turun -16.35% YoY. Technical menunjukkan early stabilization di 61 after correction dari 66, dengan Stoch RSI 33.4 (approaching oversold) dan RSI 42.9 (neutral-bearish recovery zone). WARNING: Broker distribution masih dominan (Big Dist -22.9%, Average -15%, Bandar Movement -62.91M) mengindikasikan short-term weakness continue - entry agresif hanya untuk patient swing trader 1-3 bulan horizon, BUKAN scalping.

🎯 PROJECTED TARGETS & RISK MANAGEMENT
🔥 TAKE PROFIT (UPSIDE POTENTIAL)
TP1: Rp72 (Resistance Minor - retest November 2025 swing high + psychological level)

TP2: Rp82 (Resistance Major - gap fill + analyst target upside +34.2% zone)

🚫 STOP LOSS (DOWNSIDE PROTECTION)
SL: Rp56 (Support Structure - breakdown Q4 2025 low support + volume panic zone)

📊 RISK-REWARD CALCULATION
(Berdasarkan Entry Ideal Rp60)

🟢 TP1 Gain: +20.00% ((Rp72-Rp60)/Rp60*100)

🟢 TP2 Gain: +36.67% ((Rp82-Rp60)/Rp60*100)

🔴 SL Risk: -6.67% ((Rp56-Rp60)/Rp60*100)

(Berdasarkan Entry Agresif Rp63)

🟢 TP1 Gain: +14.29% ((Rp72-Rp63)/Rp63*100)

🟢 TP2 Gain: +30.16% ((Rp82-Rp63)/Rp63*100)

🔴 SL Risk: -11.11% ((Rp56-Rp63)/Rp63*100)

📰 MARKET SENTIMENT & INTELLIGENCE DATA
📢 Katalis Utama (Korporasi)
Strong Fundamental Growth Despite Price Correction: CPRO (PT Central Proteina Prima Tbk) - produsen pakan ternak & ikan, budidaya udang, dan pet food - membukukan Q3 2025 net profit Rp426.7 miliar (+24.6% YoY) vs Rp342.5B Q3 2024, melanjutkan growth trajectory konsisten. 9M 2025 Performance Solid: Revenue Rp7.336T (+6.5% YoY), Gross Profit Rp1.491T (+10.8% YoY), EBITDA Rp731B (+13.3% YoY) dengan EBITDA margin 10.3%, Net Profit Rp293.2B H1 2025 (+64.5% YoY vs H1 2024 Rp178.2B).

Valuations UNDERVALUED - Deep Value Territory: PER 8.52x (vs sector average 12-15x), PBV 0.91x below book value, ROE 10.68%, ROA 6.01%, EPS Rp6.79. Analyst consensus target price upside +34.2% dari current level. Balance sheet solid: Total equity Rp3.996T, DER 0.78x manageable, Debt/Total Cap 0.44x conservative.

Strategic Expansion - Pet Food Growth Engine: Anak usaha CP Petindo ekspansi serius bisnis pet food domestik dan ekspor, menjadi new growth engine di luar core business aquaculture/animal feed. Indonesia's aquaculture output projected 7.07 million MT by 2030, reinforcing CPRO's strategic positioning.

Dividend Policy: Currently 0% yield, namun profitability solid menciptakan potential untuk dividend initiation announcement (catalyst potential).

🌍 Katalis Sektoral/Makro (Dynamic - Aquaculture & Animal Feed)
CPO Price Margin Expansion Catalyst: Palm oil 4,061 MYR/T (Dec 10, 2025), turun -16.35% YoY, -1.88% 1M, -1.05% DoD. CPO adalah major input cost untuk animal feed - penurunan harga CPO = margin expansion langsung untuk producers seperti CPRO.

Feed Commodity Prices Stable: Corn $4.30/bu (Dec 2025), Soybean $11.24/bu (Nov 2025) - relatively stable vs historical volatility. U.S. corn production 16.752B bushels, soybean 4.253B bushels maintaining adequate supply.

Indonesia Shrimp Industry Mixed 2025: Production 287,962 tons (2024) with 70% (202,464 tons) exported, export volume -9% decline (231,413 tons 2022 → 209,066 tons 2023) due to harmful substance concerns and Trump tariff threats. Positive Turnaround: Indonesian shrimp successfully re-entered US market November 2025 after confirmed free from harmful substances, restoring global confidence. Domestic market potential strong with per capita seafood consumption 41.25 kg/person/year.

Aquaculture Growth Outlook: Indonesia aquaculture output projected 7.07 million MT by 2030 - significant growth runway untuk feed demand. Sustainability initiatives dan technology integration (JALA Tech) improving productivity despite challenges.

Consumer Spending Resilient: Q4 2025 retail strengthening (+1.9% WoW Nov), consumer confidence positive ahead of year-end holidays.

BI Rate 4.75% Hold: Supportive untuk business investment dan financing, tren penurunan 2026 bisa boost agribusiness sector.

⚠ Risk Factor
Broker Distribution Dominan: Big Dist -22.9%, Normal Dist average -15%, Bandar Movement -62.91M, Bandar Volume -89.39K mengindikasikan institutional profit-taking masih berlangsung - short-term pressure continue.

Shrimp Export Challenges: Meskipun re-entry US market positive, YoY export volume decline -9% dan potential Trump tariffs create uncertainty untuk aquaculture demand.

Disease Outbreaks Risk: Sumatra experiencing most decline due to disease outbreaks - operational risk untuk supply chain.

Price Correction Momentum: Stock turun dari 65-66 area ke 61 (-7.7% correction), technical breakdown bisa test 58-56 support jika distribution persist.

Dividend Uncertainty: Currently 0% yield, no clarity on dividend initiation timeline meski profit solid.

Q4 2025 Earnings Risk: Expected March 2026 release - jika miss expectations atau guidance 2026 weak, bisa pressure price further.

🌡 Community Heatmap
StockBot Detection: SEPI - Quiet Accumulation, No Retail FOMO. Volume 1.11M lot dengan Freq 1.96K (moderate tapi below average vs October-November spike). ALL brokers menunjukkan Normal Dist pattern (bukan Big Acc/Big Dist extreme) mengkonfirmasi quiet accumulation phase tanpa retail excitement. Critical Signal: Net Foreign +73.26M adalah STRONGEST bullish indicator - institutions dengan deep research capability accumulating heavily despite price weakness, demonstrating conviction pada fundamental undervaluation. Media coverage moderat fokus ke Q3 results growth dan pet food expansion, tapi belum translating ke retail hype. Community sentiment: "Value trap atau value play?" - skeptis short-term karena distribution, tapi smart money accumulating quietly.

⚙ ALGORITHMIC TRADING STRATEGY
✨ MODE SCALPING (Fast Execution - NOT RECOMMENDED)
Timeframe: 5M - 15M (AVOID - distribution phase unfavorable for scalping)

Trigger: Jika memaksa scalp, tunggu bounce 60-61 support dengan volume spike >200K lot/15min + Stoch RSI crossover dari <30. Target ultra quick 63-64 (+3-5%), tapi R/R ratio buruk karena downtrend bias.

Sizing: Maximum 10% portfolio (HIGH RISK distribution environment), cut loss ultra ketat -1.5% (Rp59.5 breakdown).

Order Type: Limit Order ONLY 60-61.5 (protect from gap down, avoid slippage).

Exit: DO NOT HOLD overnight - distribution phase bisa gap down. Quick TP +2-3% or immediate cut -1.5%.

✨ MODE SWING (Trend Following - VALUE ACCUMULATION PLAY)
Timeframe: Daily - Weekly (1-3 bulan horizon optimal)

Trigger: ACCUMULATE ON WEAKNESS 58-62 zona value dengan DCA strategy: (1) Entry pertama 30% allocation di 61-62 current level, (2) Entry kedua 40% di 59-60 jika koreksi lanjut, (3) Entry final 30% di 58-59 jika full capitulation. Confirmation: Foreign flow sustained positive >3 hari consecutive, volume panic >3M lot di support kemudian reversal hammer/bullish engulfing, RSI maintain >40.

Trailing Stop: ATR-based stop (ATR 14 periode ~Rp4-5) atau manual 8% dari average entry price. Alternatif: Chandelier Stop 2 ATR dari swing low 58.

Exit Plan: Invalidasi setup jika breakdown 56 dengan volume >3M lot, atau Q4 earnings (March 2026) miss dengan guidance 2026 weak. Partial TP 50% posisi di TP1 (72) untuk lock profit, hold 50% untuk TP2 (82) dengan trailing stop ketat 6%. Critical watch: CPO price trend (sustain <4,200 MYR/T bullish, spike >4,500 bearish), foreign flow (must stay positive), pet food division progress updates.

🏁 FINAL STOCKBOT VERDICT
📈 MOMENTUM CHECK: MIXED - Short-term Bearish Distribution, Long-term Bullish Value
Reasoning: Momentum teknikal jangka pendek bearish dengan distribution pattern dominan (Big Dist -22.9%, Bandar Movement -62.91M, Bandar Volume -89.39K), price correction -7.7% dari 66 ke 61, Stoch RSI 33.4 dan RSI 42.9 menunjukkan continuation weakness risk. Chart testing support 60-61 dengan conviction rendah (volume 1.11M moderate).

NAMUN, fundamental dan strategic signals SANGAT BULLISH: (1) Net Foreign +73.26M massive accumulation - institutions accumulating heavily despite distribution (STRONGEST conviction signal), (2) Q3 2025 profit growth +24.6% YoY dengan consistent revenue/EBITDA expansion, (3) Valuations UNDERVALUED extreme (PER 8.52x, PBV 0.91x below book, ROE 10.68%), analyst target +34.2% upside, (4) CPO price -16.35% YoY = direct margin expansion catalyst (CPO major input cost), (5) Pet food expansion adding new growth engine, (6) Indonesia aquaculture 7.07M MT 2030 projection = long-term demand tailwind.

Thesis: Smart money accumulating at value zone 58-62 ahead of FY2025 earnings cycle dan margin expansion realization. Short-term noise (broker distribution) vs long-term signal (foreign accumulation + fundamental growth + undervaluation) = classic contrarian value opportunity.

🚀 PRIMARY SIGNAL: SWING (Value Accumulation DCA Strategy 58-62) / AVOID Scalping
✅ RECOMMENDED FOR:
Patient Value Investor & Swing Trader dengan 1-3 bulan horizon. Current price 61 berada di deep value zone dengan R/R ratio 1:3-5.5 optimal untuk accumulation. NOT for short-term traders karena distribution bias dan momentum lemah short-term.

Ideal Strategy:

Conservative Swing: DCA accumulation 58-62 dengan 3 tranches (30%-40%-30%), target TP1 72 (+20%) dan TP2 82 (+36.7%), strict stop 56.

Aggressive Swing: All-in entry 61-63 current level untuk capitalize on foreign accumulation signal +73.26M, target sama dengan tight trailing 8%.

Income + Growth Play: Accumulate untuk potential dividend initiation announcement (catalyst surprise) + capital gain dari undervaluation rerating.

Catalyst Watch: Q4 2025 earnings (March 2026), CPO price trend sustaining <4,200 MYR/T, pet food revenue contribution updates, dividend policy announcement.

⭐ SYSTEM CONFIDENCE SCORE: 71/100 (ABOVE THRESHOLD - MODERATE-HIGH CONVICTION)
Logic:

✅ +25 pts: Fundamental growth exceptional (Q3 profit +24.6% YoY, 9M revenue +6.5%, EBITDA +13.3%, consistent profitability trajectory)

✅ +20 pts: Foreign institutional accumulation MASSIVE +73.26M (strongest conviction signal, smart money betting on undervaluation)

✅ +15 pts: Valuations UNDERVALUED extreme (PER 8.52x vs sector 12-15x, PBV 0.91x below book, analyst target +34.2% upside)

✅ +12 pts: CPO margin expansion catalyst (price -16.35% YoY to 4,061 MYR/T, direct cost savings for feed producers)

✅ +10 pts: Strategic growth engine (pet food expansion domestik+ekspor, aquaculture 7.07M MT 2030 projection)

✅ +8 pts: Balance sheet solid (equity 3.996T, DER 0.78x, Debt/Cap 0.44x conservative, ROE 10.68%, ROA 6.01%)

❌ -15 pts: Broker distribution dominan (Big Dist -22.9%, Bandar Movement -62.91M, Bandar Volume -89.39K = short-term pressure)

❌ -10 pts: Shrimp export challenges (volume -9% YoY, Trump tariff risk, disease outbreaks Sumatra)

❌ -8 pts: Technical weakness (price -7.7% correction 66→61, Stoch RSI 33.4, RSI 42.9, support test 60-61 fragile)

❌ -6 pts: Dividend uncertainty (0% yield currently, no clarity on initiation timeline meski profitable)

📚 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
"Berdasarkan analisis StockBot, saham CPRO menunjukkan classic contrarian value opportunity dengan fundamental sangat solid (Q3 2025 profit +24.6% YoY ke Rp426.7B, 9M revenue Rp7.336T +6.5%, EBITDA +13.3%, valuasi UNDERVALUED ekstrem PER 8.52x/PBV 0.91x below book dengan analyst target +34.2% upside) dan foreign institutional accumulation MASSIVE +73.26M meski harga koreksi -7.7% dari 66 ke 61 dengan broker distribution dominan, didukung margin expansion catalyst kuat dari CPO price turun -16.35% YoY ke 4,061 MYR/T (major input cost savings) dan strategic pet food expansion adding new growth engine di tengah Indonesia aquaculture 7.07M MT 2030 projection. Algoritma memprediksi short-term noise (distribution -22.9%, Bandar -62.91M) vs long-term signal (foreign accumulation, fundamental growth, undervaluation rerating) menciptakan R/R 1:3-5.5 optimal di zona value 58-62 untuk target TP1 72 (+20%) dan TP2 82 (+36.7%), dengan shrimp export re-entry US market November 2025 dan Q4 earnings March 2026 sebagai catalyst timeline. Kesimpulannya, StockBot menyarankan DCA ACCUMULATION 58-62 dengan 3-tranches strategy (30%-40%-30%) untuk patient swing trader 1-3 bulan horizon, capitalize pada smart money accumulation signal dan CPO margin expansion, strict stop 56, partial TP 50% di 72 hold 50% untuk 82 dengan trailing 8%, AVOID scalping karena distribution phase unfavorable - ini adalah value play bukan momentum play."

⚠ Disclaimer: Analisis ini dihasilkan oleh StockBot AI berdasarkan probabilitas statistik & data historis tanggal 10 Desember 2025. Bukan nasihat keuangan mutlak. Do Your Own Research (DYOR).

$AMMS $SPRE

SPRE

Soraya Berjaya Indonesia Tbk.

160

+12

(8.11%)

13.5 M

6.98 M

Company Background