280

-2

(-0.71%)

Today

1.76 M

Volume

1.09 M

Avg volume

Company Background

PT. LCK Global Kedaton Tbk (LCKM) bergerak di bidang perdagangan dan konstruksi telekomunikasi, instalasi, pengujian dan commissioning / ITC, layanan dukungan untuk Base Transceiver Station (BTS), dan CME. Perusahaan ini didirikan pada 31 Juli 2013.

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STOCKWATCH.ID (JAKARTA) – Bursa Efek Indonesia (BEI) kembali memberikan peringatan kepada para pelaku pasar modal. Otoritas bursa memasukkan tiga saham emiten ke dalam daftar transaksi di luar kebiasaan atau Unusual Market Activity (UMA). Langkah pengawasan ketat ini diambil pada perdagangan hari ...

stockwatch.id

stockwatch.id

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KABARBURSA.COM - PT Bursa Efek Indonesia (BEI) menetapkan status UMA (Unusual Market Activity) bagi saham PT Capitol Nusantara Indonesia Tbk (CANI), PT LCK Global Kedaton Tbk (LCKM), dan PT Djasa Ubersakti Tbk (PTDU) setelah terjadi lonjakan harga yang dinilai tidak lazim.
Kepala Divisi Pengawasan T...

www.kabarbursa.com

www.kabarbursa.com

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Jakarta, CNBC Indonesia - Bursa Efek Indonesia (BEI) memantau ketat pola pergerakan Unusual Market Activity (UMA) atas tiga saham sekaligus mulai Selasa, (9/12/2025). Emiten tersebut dipantau karena terjadi kenaikan harga saham yang tidak wajar.
Adapun ketiga emiten yang dimaksud antara lain, PT Dja...

www.cnbcindonesia.com

www.cnbcindonesia.com

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Unusual Market Activity (UMA) :

🔰 $PTDU
🔰 $LCKM
🔰 $CANI

Suspend :

🔰 CITY
🔰 MGLV
🔰 TRON
🔰 WIKA

Unsuspend :

🔰 –

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🟡 UMA:
» $PTDU $LCKM $CANI maybe karena up.

🟢 UNSUSPEN:
Tidak ada

🔴 SUSPEN:
» CITY MGLV TRON suspen pertama 1 hari, besok kembali normal.

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$LCKM

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🤖 STOCKBOT INTELLIGENCE LOG

📡 SUBJECT: $BIPI (PT Astrindo Nusantara Infrastruktur Tbk)

📅 TIMESTAMP: 08 Desember 2025, 22:08 WIB

📊 LAST PRICE: Rp90 | 🚦 SYSTEM TREND: Sideways (Consolidation Phase - Distribution Dominan)

⚡ STOCKBOT CALCULATED ENTRIES (PRIORITAS)
✅ ENTRY IDEAL (Conservative Mode)
Range Beli: Rp78 – Rp84

Analisa Sistem: Entry konservatif menargetkan support kuat di MA Cross 9/26 zone yang terlihat di area Rp78-84, sekaligus previous resistance turned support. Sistem mendeteksi distribusi besar (Top 3 broker -9.8% volume, Small Dist dominan) sehingga memerlukan konfirmasi reversal kuat dengan volume capitulation >10jt lot dan RSI masuk zona oversold <40. Pattern double bottom atau bullish engulfing di level ini akan menjadi entry trigger yang valid.​

🔰 ENTRY AGRESIF (Momentum Mode)
Range Beli: Rp89 – Rp93

Analisa Sistem: Dead cat bounce play dari level support psikologis Rp90. Entry agresif HANYA untuk scalping rebound teknikal jangka sangat pendek karena struktur teknikal masih bearish dengan distribusi institusi dominan. Risk ekstrem tinggi karena Bandar distribusi -Rp154.69K dan foreign net sell -Rp1.08B menunjukkan smart money exit. Stop loss WAJIB strict di Rp86.​

🎯 PROJECTED TARGETS & RISK MANAGEMENT
🔥 TAKE PROFIT (UPSIDE POTENTIAL)
TP1: Rp98 (Resistance Minor - MA 9/26 Resistance Confluence)

TP2: Rp108 (Resistance Major - Previous High Pre-Correction Zone)

🚫 STOP LOSS (DOWNSIDE PROTECTION)
SL: Rp75 (Support Structure - Major Support Breakdown Level)

📊 RISK-REWARD CALCULATION
(Berdasarkan Entry Ideal Rp81)

🟢 TP1 Gain: +20.99% ((Rp98-Rp81)/Rp81*100)

🟢 TP2 Gain: +33.33% ((Rp108-Rp81)/Rp81*100)

🔴 SL Risk: -7.41% ((Rp75-Rp81)/Rp81*100)

(Berdasarkan Entry Agresif Rp91)

🟢 TP1 Gain: +7.69% ((Rp98-Rp91)/Rp91*100)

🟢 TP2 Gain: +18.68% ((Rp108-Rp91)/Rp91*100)

🔴 SL Risk: -17.58% ((Rp75-Rp91)/Rp91*100)

📰 MARKET SENTIMENT & INTELLIGENCE DATA
📢 Katalis Utama (Korporasi)
Saham BIPI turun -1.10% hari ini (close Rp90) dalam fase konsolidasi pasca-koreksi besar dari level Rp92 (high). Perusahaan bergerak di sektor jasa infrastruktur pertambangan batubara dengan fokus penyewaan pelabuhan batubara, fasilitas crusher, conveyor overland, dan stockpiling terutama di Sumatera Selatan (Lahat) dan Kalimantan Timur (Samarinda). Kinerja Q3 2025 sangat mengecewakan: rugi bersih Rp90.4 miliar (swing dari profit Rp54.2 miliar Q3 2024, turun -266.8% YoY). Revenue anjlok -45.8% YoY menjadi Rp3.43 triliun dengan net margin negatif -2.6%. BIPI sempat mendapat UMA warning BEI akhir Oktober 2025 karena pola transaksi tidak wajar. Perusahaan merambah diversifikasi bisnis distribusi gas alam dan perdagangan bahan bakar padat untuk mitigasi penurunan demand coal infrastructure.​​

🌍 Katalis Sektoral/Makro (Dynamic - Coal Infrastructure Services)
Harga Batubara Acuan (HBA): US$98.26/ton (kalori 6322, awal Desember 2025) turun dari US$102.03/ton akhir November. HBA mid-calorie US$67.99/ton (+naik), low-calorie US$44.37/ton (+naik)​

Coal Price Global: US$108.50/ton (4 Des 2025), turun -1.32% dalam sebulan dan -18.18% YoY​

Indonesia Coal Sector Crisis: Ekspor batubara Indonesia turun -6.33% YoY menjadi 184.19 juta ton (H1 2025), revenue turun -21.09% menjadi US$11.97 miliar karena oversupply dan declining demand​

Policy Risk: Regulasi 10/2025 pemerintah Indonesia target net-zero 2060, early retirement coal plants, mengurangi ketergantungan batubara​

Structural Decline: IEA proyeksikan global coal demand stabil kemudian decline, terutama low-calorie coal yang menjadi fokus Indonesia​

⚠️ Risk Factor
Fundamental Collapse: Rugi bersih Rp90.4B Q3 2025 (swing -266.8% YoY), revenue -45.8% YoY menunjukkan bisnis model under severe stress​

Heavy Institutional Selling: Bandar Volume -Rp154.69K, foreign net sell -Rp1.08B, distribusi dominan all brokers​

UMA Warning History: BEI flagged unusual trading pattern Oktober 2025, indikasi volatilitas ekstrem dan manipulasi potential​

Sector Headwinds: Coal export revenue -21%, produksi oversupply 700 juta ton vs declining demand​

Regulatory Pressure: Government push net-zero 2060, early coal plant retirement threatens infrastructure services demand​

Weak Technical: RSI 53.4 netral, Stoch RSI 0.0 masih lemah, seller dominan 30 buyers vs 20 sellers namun distribusi pressure tinggi​

🌡️ Community Heatmap
StockBot Detection: SEPI (Low Interest - Capitulation Phase) - Volume hanya 2.6M lot dengan frekuensi 82.39K menunjukkan minat retail sangat rendah. Forum Stockbit dan social media sepi dari pembicaraan BIPI setelah UMA warning Oktober dan hasil Q3 yang mengecewakan. Top broker menunjukkan Small Distribution dominan (Top 1: 9.3% Small Acc, Top 3: -9.8% Small Dist, Average: -10.7% Small Dist) mengindikasikan retail panic selling. Net Volume -1.57 juta saham menunjukkan tekanan jual masih dominan.​​

⚙️ ALGORITHMIC TRADING STRATEGY
✨ MODE SCALPING (Fast Execution)
Timeframe: 5M - 15M

Trigger: Rebound dari support Rp89 dengan volume spike >1jt lot dalam 15 menit OR breakdown Rp86 untuk short position (jika platform support)

Sizing: Maksimal 10% portfolio (HIGH RISK stock), ultra-quick profit target +2-3% (Rp2-3 per share)

Order Type: Limit order di Rp89-90, AUTOMATIC stop loss di Rp86 (NO HOLDING overnight, strict -3.5% maximum loss)

✨ MODE SWING (Trend Following)
Timeframe: Daily - Weekly

Trigger: Wait for massive capitulation ke Rp78-84 dengan panic volume >15jt lot, RSI <35, kemudian bullish reversal pattern (morning star/hammer) di daily chart. WAJIB konfirmasi fundamental catalyst seperti new contract announcement atau coal price rebound >US$110/ton

Trailing Stop: ATR-based (3x ATR), initial SL Rp75, NO trailing until profit >10% tercapai

Exit Plan: Invalidasi TOTAL jika breakdown Rp75 dengan volume >20jt lot. Partial profit 80% di TP1 Rp98 (protect capital maksimal), hold 20% untuk TP2 Rp108 ONLY if fundamental improves. Monitor Q4 2025 earnings report (expected Jan 2026) untuk konfirmasi turnaround atau continuation decline

🏁 FINAL STOCKBOT VERDICT
📈 MOMENTUM CHECK: NEGATIVE (Fundamental Crisis + Sector Decline)
Reasoning: Fundamental sangat buruk dengan rugi bersih Rp90.4B Q3 2025 (swing -266.8% YoY) dan revenue -45.8% YoY mencerminkan structural crisis di bisnis coal infrastructure services. Sector headwinds ekstrem: ekspor batubara Indonesia -21% revenue, oversupply 700 juta ton, global coal demand declining menurut IEA. Distribusi institusi massive (Bandar -Rp154.69K, foreign -Rp1.08B) tanpa ada buying support. HBA turun dari US$102.03→US$98.26 memperburuk outlook.​​

🚀 PRIMARY SIGNAL: WAIT (Avoid Until Fundamental Clarity)
✅ RECOMMENDED FOR:
Trader Konservatif: AVOID completely - fundamental crisis belum resolved

Trader Agresif: WAIT capitulation extreme ke Rp78-84, scalping rebound ONLY dengan strict SL Rp75

Long-term Investor: AVOID - sector structural decline, regulatory headwinds (net-zero 2060 policy)

⭐ SYSTEM CONFIDENCE SCORE: 22/100
Logic Breakdown:

+Risk-Reward Ratio Good (1:2.8): +8 poin - IF entry ideal executed perfectly

+Oversold from Peak: +6 poin - Turun dari Rp92→Rp90, potential technical bounce

+Diversification Effort: +5 poin - Merambah gas natural & solid fuel trading​

+HBA Mid/Low Calorie Naik: +3 poin - US$67.99 & US$44.37 naik tipis​

-Fundamental Collapse: -30 poin - Rugi Rp90.4B, revenue -45.8% YoY

-Heavy Distribution: -22 poin - Bandar -Rp154.69K, foreign -Rp1.08B, all brokers selling

-Sector Structural Decline: -20 poin - Coal export -21%, oversupply, IEA demand projection negative

-UMA Warning History: -12 poin - BEI flagged Oktober 2025, high volatility risk

-Regulatory Headwind: -10 poin - Net-zero 2060 policy, coal plant early retirement

-Weak Volume/Interest: -8 poin - Volume 2.6M lot, retail capitulation phase

📚 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
Berdasarkan analisis StockBot, saham BIPI menunjukkan fundamental crisis yang sangat serius dengan rugi bersih Rp90.4 miliar Q3 2025 (swing -266.8% YoY) dan revenue collapsing -45.8% YoY akibat structural headwinds sektor batubara Indonesia (ekspor -21% revenue, oversupply masif, HBA turun US$102→US$98, regulatory pressure net-zero 2060), dikonfirmasi dengan distribusi institusi massive (Bandar -Rp154.69K, foreign -Rp1.08B) dan UMA warning BEI Oktober 2025. Algoritma memprediksi AVOID signal kuat untuk investor konservatif dan long-term, sementara trader agresif hanya boleh consider scalping rebound teknikal di zona capitulation extreme Rp78-84 dengan disiplin stop loss SANGAT ketat di Rp75 mengingat risk-reward sangat unfavorable tanpa catalyst turnaround yang jelas.​​

⚠️ Disclaimer: Analisis ini dihasilkan oleh StockBot AI berdasarkan probabilitas statistik & data historis tanggal 08 Desember 2025. Bukan nasihat keuangan mutlak. Saham BIPI berada dalam kondisi FUNDAMENTAL CRISIS dengan rugi operasional yang severe dan sector outlook sangat negatif. Pernah mendapat UMA warning BEI Oktober 2025. HANYA untuk trader berpengalaman dengan high risk tolerance. Do Your Own Research (DYOR) dan konsultasikan dengan penasihat keuangan berlisensi sebelum mengambil keputusan investasi.​​

$LCKM $KETR

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