Missed Prediction 2021

Di 2021 saya membuat sekitar 376 Prediksi dan yang missed sebanyak 51 Prediksi. Sedangkan yang hit mencapai 325 prediksi.
Hit ratio 86%
Missed ratio 14%

Menurut saya yang hit prediction tidak perlu dipelajari lagi.
Yang wajib dipelajari adalah yang missed predictions.

Perlu dicari tahu mengapa target bisa missed dan apa yang bisa diperbaiki dari semua missed tersebut. Belajar dari masa lalu untuk memperbaiki masa depan.

Jika ingin menjadi investor dan trader yang lebih baik maka kita harus belajar dari semua kesalahan kita dalam melakukan analisis.

Karena tidak ada manusia yang 100% benar. Selalu akan ada khilaf dan dosa.

Saya sudah rekap semua missed prediction di 2021. Berikut rinciannya:

1. $TOWR
https://stockbit.com/post/7369751

2 USDIDR
https://stockbit.com/post/6501520

3. $HMSP
https://stockbit.com/post/6481842

4. $MLBI
https://stockbit.com/post/6306220

5. $INTP
https://stockbit.com/post/6235230

6 TCID
https://stockbit.com/post/6235230

7 ADMF
https://stockbit.com/post/6214617

8 KOTA
https://stockbit.com/post/6194192

9 KLBF
https://stockbit.com/post/6194185

10 SRIL
https://stockbit.com/post/6170300

11 BBTN
https://stockbit.com/post/6168323

12 PNLF
https://stockbit.com/post/6168319

13 META
https://stockbit.com/post/6168300

14 TOTO
https://stockbit.com/post/6165764

15 WEGE
https://stockbit.com/post/6117054

16 IHSG
https://stockbit.com/post/6098167

17 BTPN
https://stockbit.com/post/6092501

18. POWR
https://stockbit.com/post/6092441

19. ADHI
https://stockbit.com/post/6079696

20. BBNI
https://stockbit.com/post/6047846

21. WIKA
https://stockbit.com/post/6046156

22. BBCA
https://stockbit.com/post/6033779

23. TOTL
https://stockbit.com/post/6033695

24. PGAS
https://stockbit.com/post/6008500

25. BDMN
https://stockbit.com/post/6007117

26. MNCN
https://stockbit.com/post/6007067

27. PSAB
https://stockbit.com/post/5997252

28. JRPT
https://stockbit.com/post/5987591

29. SRIL
https://stockbit.com/post/5986484

30. ASII
https://stockbit.com/post/5986234

31. WEGE
https://stockbit.com/post/5961595

32. PNIN
https://stockbit.com/post/5947816

33. PGAS
https://stockbit.com/post/5931137

34. POWR
https://stockbit.com/post/5917080

35. KEJU
https://stockbit.com/post/5901677

36. ASII
https://stockbit.com/post/5860058

37. SRIL
https://stockbit.com/post/5860029

38. UNVR
https://stockbit.com/post/5805519

39. ASII
https://stockbit.com/post/5774666

40. ULTJ
https://stockbit.com/post/5758127

41. BBLD
https://stockbit.com/post/5757872

42. CARS
https://stockbit.com/post/5713966

43. ICBP
https://stockbit.com/post/5699237

44. PBRX
https://stockbit.com/post/5651683

45. PBRX
https://stockbit.com/post/5461223

46. ELSA
https://stockbit.com/post/5459235

47. HMSP
https://stockbit.com/post/5423694

48. ADRO
https://stockbit.com/post/5356498

49. JSMR
https://stockbit.com/post/5318572

50. INDF
https://stockbit.com/post/5304097

51. HMSP
https://stockbit.com/post/5226722

Dari 51 missed predictions tersebut saya jadi makin meyakini bahwa saham yang overleveraged dan overvalued dan no earning maka resiko nyangkut lamanya jauh lebih besar ketimbang emiten yang Undervalued dan balance sheet sehat.

Disclaimer: http://bit.ly/3bLj4Oc