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S&P Flags Risks to Indonesia Rating, Weeks After Moody’s Warning

By Grace Sihombing and Prima Wirayani
February 26, 2026 at 4:48 PM GMT+7

Takeaways by Bloomberg AI

S&P Global Ratings warned that rising fiscal pressures, particularly higher debt-servicing costs, are increasing downside risks for Indonesia’s sovereign credit profile and could lead to negative rating action.

Interest payments are "very likely" to have exceeded 15% of government revenue last year, and if they stay above the threshold on a sustained basis, that could prompt a more negative view on the rating.

S&P is watching the medium-term fiscal framework and revenue developments, and sustained weakness in revenues could keep the country’s interest burden elevated and erode fiscal buffers that underpin the sovereign rating.

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