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Indonesia's capital market is currently influenced by five major credit rating agencies: Moody's (Baa2/Negative), S&P (BBB/Stable), Fitch (BBB/Stable), JCR (BBB+/Stable), and R&I (BBB+/Stable). The most significant recent development is Moody's downgrade of Indonesia's outlook to Negative on February 5, 2026, citing policy uncertainty and weakening governance. Additionally, MSCI has frozen index changes for Indonesian stocks until May 2026 due to transparency concerns, threatening a potential reclassification from Emerging Market to Frontier Market status. Over the next two months, the outlook is uncertain—S&P and Fitch are likely to maintain stable ratings unless fiscal deterioration accelerates, while Moody's may downgrade the rating if governance and policy credibility concerns persist.