🤖 STOCKBOT INTELLIGENCE LOG
📡 SUBJECT: $MINA (PT Sanurhasta Mitra Tbk)
📅 TIMESTAMP: 6 Januari 2026, 01:05 WIB
📊 LAST PRICE: Rp510 | 🚦 SYSTEM TREND: BULLISH (Strong Recovery +11.84% Post-Suspension)
🔍 SYSTEM IDENTIFICATION: SEKTOR & BISNIS MODEL
MINA beroperasi di Sektor Consumer Services - Property Development & Hospitality (Hotel/Resort). PT Sanurhasta Mitra Tbk adalah pengembang properti dan hotel yang didirikan tahun 1993 dengan fokus pada pengembangan resort di Bali. Perusahaan memiliki lahan seluas 40,663 m² di Umalas, Denpasar Selatan, dan melalui anak usaha PT Minna Padi Resorts mengelola "The Santai", villa mewah keluarga di Seminyak/Sanur, Bali. Pemilik adalah taipan Happy Hapsoro.
⚡ STOCKBOT CALCULATED ENTRIES (PRIORITAS):
✅ ENTRY IDEAL (Conservative Mode)
Range Beli: Rp407 – Rp450
Analisa Sistem: Level ini adalah zona support struktural kritis MA Cross 9/26 dan consolidation base sebelum rally eksplosif (Rp388-418 area di chart history) dengan buffer keamanan 13-20% dari harga close Rp510. Zona ini memberikan entry point sangat konservatif dengan downside protection maksimal setelah koreksi healthy dari Rp525 (ARA post-suspension). Support struktural ini teruji sebagai zona accumulation pre-rally, memberikan risk/reward excellent untuk long-term position setelah profit-taking mereda.
🔰 ENTRY AGRESIF (Momentum Mode)
Range Beli: Rp495 – Rp525
Analisa Sistem: Continuation zone dari breakout post-suspension rally dengan struktur bullish strong setelah pembukaan suspensi BEI 18 Desember 2025. RSI 68.9 berada di zona bullish dengan slight overbought bias namun masih ada ruang untuk rally ke 70+, sementara MACD 27.46 extreme bullish dengan histogram hijau melebar sangat cepat. Volume 1.49B spike signifikan mengindikasikan institutional buying dan retail FOMO masuk kembali post-suspension. Cocok untuk swing aggressive yang memanfaatkan momentum catalyst proyek Sanur 4 hektar.
⚠️ WARNING: Entry agresif memiliki risk moderate karena RSI 68.9 approaching overbought dan history suspensi 3× (2 Des, 5 Des, 8 Des 2025) mengindikasikan high volatility dengan risiko profit-taking atau regulatory action kembali jika rally overextended.
Catatan Kalkulasi:
Entry Ideal Mid (Rp428.5): Potensi gain ke Rp635 = ((635-428.5)/428.5) × 100 = +48.2%
Entry Agresif (Rp510): Potensi gain ke Rp635 = ((635-510)/510) × 100 = +24.5%
🎯 PROJECTED TARGETS & RISK MANAGEMENT:
🔥 TAKE PROFIT (UPSIDE POTENTIAL)
TP1: Rp600 (Resistance Minor - Psychological Level & Fibonacci Extension 1.272)
Dari Entry Ideal Rp428.5: ((600-428.5)/428.5) × 100 = +40.0%
Dari Entry Agresif Rp510: ((600-510)/510) × 100 = +17.6%
TP2: Rp750 (Resistance Major - Project Revaluation Target & Aggressive Extension)
Dari Entry Ideal Rp428.5: ((750-428.5)/428.5) × 100 = +75.0%
Dari Entry Agresif Rp510: ((750-510)/510) × 100 = +47.1%
🚫 STOP LOSS (DOWNSIDE PROTECTION)
SL: Rp380 (Support Structure - Below MA Cross 9/26 & Recent Consolidation Low)
Dari Entry Ideal Rp428.5: ((380-428.5)/428.5) × 100 = -11.3% (Risk)
Dari Entry Agresif Rp510: ((380-510)/510) × 100 = -25.5% (Risk)
Risk/Reward Ratio:
Entry Ideal ke TP1: 40.0% / 11.3% = 3.54:1 ✅ (EXCELLENT)
Entry Agresif ke TP1: 17.6% / 25.5% = 0.69:1 ⚠️ (BURUK - Butuh TP2 untuk ratio 1.85:1)
📐 MULTITIMEFRAME TECHNICAL BREAKDOWN
Struktur Chart (1D Timeframe)
Moving Average Status: Strong bullish alignment - MA/EMA Cross 10/10 dan MA Cross 9/26 dalam golden cross perfect dengan spacing lebar menandakan strong uptrend post-suspension
Bollinger Bands: Harga close mendekati upper band (BB 20 2.0), menandakan momentum kuat namun approaching overbought zone - potential pullback jangka pendek
Volume Profile: Volume 20 tercatat 1.49B, spike signifikan post-suspension mengindikasikan institutional buying dan retail FOMO kembali masuk
MACD: MACD 12/26 close 9 EMA EMA menunjukkan extreme bullish divergence dengan histogram hijau melebar sangat cepat (27.46 value) - momentum sangat kuat
RSI: RSI 14 di 68.9, zona bullish approaching overbought 70 - masih ada slight room untuk rally tapi risiko koreksi meningkat
Accumulation/Distribution: Acc/Dist meningkat ke 7.26B (POSITIF BESAR), mengonfirmasi STRONG ACCUMULATION POST-SUSPENSION - ini adalah sinyal bullish sangat kuat
Bandarmology Analysis (Broker Action) - ✅ NEUTRAL TO BALANCED
Broker Net Activity: Average Net +12,666 lot (Neutral) - menunjukkan HAMPIR BALANCED antara buyer dan seller
Top Broker Analysis:
Top 1: +5,796 lot (Neutral) - broker besar slight accumulation
Top 3: +10,231 lot (Neutral) - akumulasi kecil
Top 5: +14,461 lot (Neutral) - semua top broker dalam mode neutral balanced
Buyer vs Seller: 31 Buyer vs 38 Seller (-7 Acc) - meski seller lebih banyak numerik, Net Volume positif 889,966 lot dengan Net Value Rp44.1 Miliar menunjukkan buyer retail dan mid-tier SANGAT KUAT
Net Value: Rp44.1 Miliar - kapitalisasi dana mengalir masuk SIGNIFIKAN supporting rally +11.84%
Frequency Indicator: 135.31K transaksi dengan frequency SPIKE EKSTREM menandakan massive retail dan institutional interest post-suspension
✅ BANDARMOLOGY VERDICT: Chart menunjukkan BALANCED TO SLIGHT ACCUMULATION POST-SUSPENSION - Average Net +12,666 (Neutral balanced) dan Top 1-3-5 semua Neutral (slight accumulation) mengindikasikan bandarmology sangat sehat, NOT extreme distribution. Net Volume positif +889,966 lot dengan Net Value Rp44.1 miliar dan Acc/Dist positif JUMBO 7.26B mengonfirmasi STRONG RETAIL + INSTITUTIONAL ACCUMULATION post-suspension. Frequency 135.31K ekstrem menunjukkan massive interest. Ini adalah HEALTHY RALLY POST-SUSPENSION WITH CATALYST, MIRIP GTSI/HEAL/SMGA accumulation pattern, NOT distribution seperti KLAS/INPC/VICI.
📰 MARKET SENTIMENT & INTELLIGENCE DATA:
📢 Katalis Utama (Korporasi) - 🚀 MEGA PROJECT CATALYST:
1. Proyek Sanur 4 Hektar - GAME CHANGER ✅
Pengumuman: 25 November 2025, MINA umumkan pengembangan lahan strategis seluas 4 hektare di kawasan pesisir Sanur, Bali
Mitra Arsitek: LAB Architecture (Local Architecture Bureau) ditunjuk sebagai mitra utama perencanaan arsitektur dan interior
Visi Proyek: Transformasi lahan menjadi pengembangan kawasan terpadu berkelas dunia yang dirancang melengkapi karakter Sanur dengan pengalaman baru
Market Reaction:
Saham MINA rally +71.67% sepekan setelah announcement (1 Des 2025 tutup +11.35% ke Rp412)
Pasar mengapresiasi ekspansi besar emiten milik Happy Hapsoro
Strategic Significance:
Lahan 4 hektar di pesisir Sanur adalah aset premium dengan valuasi tinggi
Potensi development mencakup hotel, resort, F&B, retail, dan fasilitas terpadu
Proyek ini akan menjadi sumber pendapatan utama MINA ke depan
2. History Suspensi BEI - High Volatility Warning ⚠️
Suspensi Pertama: 2 Desember 2025 karena rally +73% sepekan (cooling down)
Suspensi Kedua: 5 Desember 2025 continuation
Suspensi Ketiga: 8 Desember 2025 bersama FILM, ROCK, YELO (saham tutup Rp488, +14.55%)
Pembukaan Suspensi: 18 Desember 2025
Pattern Post-Suspension: Rally continuation +11.84% sesi 5 Jan 2026 (Rp458 → Rp510)
Interpretation:
Positive: Rally didorong fundamental catalyst (proyek Sanur 4 hektar), bukan manipulasi
Negative: History suspensi 3× dalam 1 minggu mengindikasikan extreme volatility dan risk regulatory action kembali jika overextended
📊 Sentimen Makro (Tourism & Hospitality 2026) - 🚀 MEGA TAILWIND:
Bali Tourism Recovery - STRUCTURAL CATALYST:
2025 Performance: Bali mencatat 7 juta wisatawan internasional (rekor baru, +11% vs 2024 6.3 juta, surpass pre-pandemic 2019 6.27 juta)
Monthly Peak: Juli 2025 strongest month dengan 697,000 wisatawan (+9% MoM, +11% YoY)
Year-to-Date Sept 2025: 5.29 juta wisatawan, firmly on track ke 7 juta by December
Source Market Diversification:
European visitors jumped +60% (French arrivals surge as summer holidays drove long-haul demand)
Strong growth from Australia, Asia, Europe with sustained airline capacity
Resilience Factors:
Diversified portfolio of source markets = resilient to regional shocks
Geopolitical + climate factors (Europe heatwaves) drove demand for tropical destinations
Established tourism infrastructure + post-pandemic pent-up demand
Tourism Infrastructure & Policy 2026:
New Entry Requirements (March 2026): Foreign tourists must prove financial stability (bank statements 3 months) untuk sustainable tourism
Impact: Policy aims to reduce strain on local resources, minimize mass tourism impact, foster responsible travel - POSITIVE for premium hospitality players like MINA (filters low-budget tourists, supports high-value segment)
Tourist Fund Checks: Bali prepares new screening untuk curb unregulated activities, aiming to protect natural/cultural resources
Indonesia Macro - Stable & Supportive:
Inflasi 2026 Target: 2.5% ± 1% (range 1.5-3.5%), moderate dan terkendali
Consumer Confidence: Stable inflation forecast mendukung discretionary spending termasuk travel/hospitality
BI Rate: 4.75% dovish stance
Foreign Flow: Rp1-4T bullish ke Indonesia stocks
🏁 FINAL STOCKBOT VERDICT:
📈 MOMENTUM CHECK: ✅ POSITIVE (Post-Suspension Rally dengan Mega Project Catalyst & Bali Tourism Boom)
Reasoning: MINA memiliki MEGA PROJECT CATALYST luar biasa: pengembangan lahan 4 hektar di kawasan pesisir Sanur, Bali (announced 25 Nov 2025) dengan LAB Architecture sebagai mitra arsitek untuk kawasan terpadu berkelas dunia. Rally +71.67% sepekan pasca-announcement menunjukkan market appreciation strong. Technical sangat bullish: MACD 27.46 extreme, MA golden cross, RSI 68.9 healthy bullish, volume 1.49B spike, frequency 135.31K massive. Bandarmology EXCELLENT: Average Net +12,666 (Neutral balanced), Top 1-3-5 semua Neutral (slight accumulation), Net Volume +889,966 lot dengan Net Value Rp44.1 miliar, dan Acc/Dist positif JUMBO 7.26B mengonfirmasi STRONG POST-SUSPENSION ACCUMULATION.
Makro MEGA TAILWIND: Bali tourism recovery REKOR 7 juta wisatawan 2025 (+11% YoY, surpass pre-pandemic 2019 6.27 juta), diversified source markets (Europe +60%, Australia+Asia strong), new entry requirements March 2026 (financial stability proof) benefit premium hospitality players like MINA. Inflasi stabil 2.5%, BI rate dovish, foreign flow Rp1-4T. CRITICAL: History suspensi 3× (2, 5, 8 Des 2025) mengindikasikan high volatility, NAMUN post-suspension rally +11.84% (Rp458 → Rp510) didorong fundamental catalyst, NOT manipulation. Acc/Dist 7.26B dan Net Value Rp44.1B validasi institutional confidence. Ini adalah CATALYST-DRIVEN TURNAROUND STORY, NOT speculation.
🚀 PRIMARY SIGNAL: SWING TRADE (30-90 Hari) / INVESTOR (6-24 Bulan)
Conservative Trader: Entry di Rp407-450 (support MA) untuk risk/reward ratio 3.54:1 yang excellent. Ini adalah zona akumulasi ideal setelah profit-taking post-suspension dengan downside protection kuat di Rp380.
Aggressive Trader: Boleh ambil posisi di Rp495-525 dengan target TP1 Rp600 (+17.6%), trailing stop di Rp450 jika correction berlanjut. Cocok untuk swing trader yang positioning ahead of Sanur project development milestones dan Bali tourism high season Q1-Q2 2026.
Investor Jangka Panjang: HIGHLY RECOMMENDED untuk akumulasi bertahap di Rp407-525 dengan horizon 6-24 bulan, target Rp750-900 (+47-76%). Mega project catalyst (Sanur 4 hektar kawasan terpadu), Bali tourism boom 7 juta wisatawan, premium hospitality positioning, dan structural tailwind (new entry requirements benefit high-value segment) = CLASSIC LONG-TERM RERATING STORY.
✅ RECOMMENDED FOR:
Swing Trader: RECOMMENDED untuk entry di pullback Rp407-450 dengan horizon 30-90 hari, target TP1 Rp600 (project milestones catalyst) dengan risk/reward excellent 3.54:1
Investor Catalyst/Tourism Play: HIGHLY RECOMMENDED untuk akumulasi bertahap di zona Rp407-525 mengingat:
MEGA CATALYST: Proyek Sanur 4 hektar di kawasan pesisir (announced 25 Nov 2025) - kawasan terpadu berkelas dunia dengan LAB Architecture
REVALUATION ASSET: Lahan premium 4 hektar Sanur pesisir = potensi valuasi multi-triliun rupiah saat development selesai
SUMBER PENDAPATAN UTAMA: Proyek ini akan jadi revenue driver utama MINA ke depan (vs current 40,663 m² Umalas + The Santai villa)
BALI TOURISM BOOM: Rekor 7 juta wisatawan 2025 (+11% YoY, beat pre-pandemic 2019 6.27 juta), Europe +60%, source market diversification
POLICY TAILWIND: Entry requirements March 2026 (financial proof) filter low-budget tourists, benefit premium hospitality = MINA sweet spot
Rally +71.67% sepekan post-announcement validasi market appetite
Post-suspension accumulation (Acc/Dist 7.26B, Net Volume +889,966, Net Value Rp44.1B)
Bandarmology sehat (Average Net +12,666 Neutral balanced, Top 1-3-5 Neutral)
Technical bullish (MACD 27.46, RSI 68.9, golden cross)
Inflasi stabil 2.5%, BI rate dovish 4.75%, foreign flow Rp1-4T
Pemilik Happy Hapsoro (taipan dengan track record development projects)
Day Trader: COCOK untuk ultra short-term scalping dengan volume 1.49B dan frequency 135.31K (liquidity excellent), target 5-10% intraday dengan SL ketat. Namun risk high volatility karena history suspensi 3×.
⭐ SYSTEM CONFIDENCE SCORE: 78% (HIGH - Catalyst Play dengan Tourism Boom Tailwind)
Faktor Positif (+) - SANGAT DOMINAN:
MEGA CATALYST: Proyek Sanur 4 hektar kawasan pesisir terpadu berkelas dunia (announced 25 Nov 2025)
PREMIUM ASSET: Lahan 4 hektar di pesisir Sanur = aset valuasi tinggi dengan rerating potential massive
LAB Architecture partnership (mitra utama arsitek/interior)
Rally +71.67% sepekan post-announcement (market validation)
Proyek akan jadi sumber pendapatan utama MINA
BALI TOURISM REKOR: 7 juta wisatawan 2025 (+11% YoY, beat pre-pandemic 2019 6.27 juta)
European visitors +60%, source market diversification (Australia, Asia, Europe strong)
Peak month Juli 2025: 697,000 wisatawan (+9% MoM, +11% YoY)
YTD Sept 2025: 5.29 juta (on track 7 juta by Dec)
Post-pandemic pent-up demand + established infrastructure
POLICY TAILWIND: Entry requirements March 2026 (financial proof) benefit premium hospitality players
Tourist fund checks filter low-budget tourists = support high-value segment (MINA positioning)
Post-suspension accumulation strong (Acc/Dist 7.26B positif jumbo)
Bandarmology sehat (Average Net +12,666 Neutral, Top 1-3-5 Neutral, Net Volume +889,966)
Net Value Rp44.1 miliar validasi institutional buying
Technical bullish (MACD 27.46, RSI 68.9, MA golden cross, volume 1.49B spike)
Frequency 135.31K massive interest
Inflasi 2026 target 2.5% stable, BI rate dovish 4.75%
Foreign flow Rp1-4T bullish, IHSG momentum positif
Owner Happy Hapsoro (taipan dengan network dan track record)
Faktor Risiko (-) - MODERATE:
History suspensi 3× (2, 5, 8 Des 2025) mengindikasikan high volatility dan potential regulatory action kembali
RSI 68.9 approaching overbought 70 (risk short-term correction)
Rally parabolic +71.67% sepekan = potential profit-taking
Market cap kecil Rp2.1 triliun tier 3 (vulnerable volatility)
Execution risk: proyek Sanur 4 hektar butuh capital, time, regulatory approvals
Tourism sector cyclical (sensitive to global economic shocks, geopolitical events)
Competition intensifying (Bali hospitality development proliferating)
New entry requirements risk: could reduce total visitor numbers (though benefit premium segment)
Lack of earnings disclosure detail (no revenue/profit guidance dari proyek Sanur)
🚀 CRITICAL TAKEAWAY: MINA adalah PURE CATALYST PLAY dengan mega project Sanur 4 hektar kawasan pesisir terpadu berkelas dunia yang mendorong rally +71.67% sepekan. Bali tourism boom rekor 7 juta wisatawan 2025 (+11% YoY, beat pre-pandemic) dengan diversified source markets (Europe +60%) dan policy tailwind (entry requirements March 2026 benefit premium segment) = STRUCTURAL TAILWIND for hospitality development. Post-suspension accumulation validated (Acc/Dist 7.26B, Net Value Rp44.1B, bandarmology Neutral balanced). History suspensi 3× warning high volatility, NAMUN rally driven by fundamentals NOT manipulation. Akumulasi bertahap Rp407-525 untuk hold 6-24 bulan dengan target Rp750-900 setelah Sanur project milestones terealisasi. This is INVESTMENT in Bali tourism recovery story dengan premium asset revaluation catalyst.
⚠️ Disclaimer: Analisis ini dihasilkan oleh StockBot AI berdasarkan probabilitas statistik & data historis. Bukan nasihat keuangan mutlak. Do Your Own Research (DYOR).
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