π€ STOCKBOT INTELLIGENCE LOG
π‘ SUBJECT: $BLOG
π
TIMESTAMP: Kamis, 27 November 2025, 00:49 WIB
π LAST PRICE: Rp452 | π¦ SYSTEM TREND: Bearish Konsolidasi (Downtrend)
β‘ STOCKBOT CALCULATED ENTRIES (PRIORITAS):
β
ENTRY IDEAL (Conservative Mode)
Range Beli: Rp445 β Rp452
Analisa Sistem: Support MA daily bottom, area konsolidasi volume, potensi technical rebound terbatas, demand tipis.
π° ENTRY AGRESIF (Momentum Mode)
Range Beli: Rp452 β Rp460
Analisa Sistem: Scalping di zona breakdown, peluang pantulan teknikal intraday, risiko fakeout tinggi, volume big seller.
π― PROJECTED TARGETS & RISK MANAGEMENT:
π₯ TAKE PROFIT (UPSIDE POTENTIAL)
TP1: Rp465 (resistance minor: short-term MA dan ATR intraday)
TP2: Rp480 (major resistance: area breakout terakhir/MA atas)
π« STOP LOSS (DOWNSIDE PROTECTION)
SL: Rp440 (support ATR, struktur base pola downtrend)
π RISK-REWARD CALCULATION (Berdasarkan Entry Ideal Rp449)
π’ TP1 Gain: +3.5% ((465-449)/449100)
π’ TP2 Gain: +6.9% ((480-449)/449100)
π΄ SL Risk: -2.0% ((440-449)/449*100)
(Berdasarkan Entry Agresif Rp456)
π’ TP1 Gain: +2.0%
π’ TP2 Gain: +5.3%
π΄ SL Risk: -3.5%
π° MARKET SENTIMENT & INTELLIGENCE DATA:
π’ Katalis Utama (Korporasi): BLOG membukukan laba bersih Rp109 miliar (+24% yoy) Q3 2025, pendapatan konsolidasi melonjak 22% menjadi Rp954,5 miliar per 9 bulan 2025. Ekspansi armada dan fasilitas cold storage terus berjalan (5 gudang baru 2025, fokus logistik dingin/F&B nasional), capex hasil IPO tetap dialokasikan ekspansi & efisiensi digital logistik. Proyeksi CAGR revenue 2025β2029 sebesar 12%.β
π Katalis Sektoral/Makro (Dynamic): Harga batubara USD 110,9/ton (stabil, masih oversupply global), inflasi IHK RI Oktober 2,86%, tren ekspor non-migas Indonesia dan sektor transportasi/ekspor logistik tumbuh, namun ekspor batubara turun 20,85% YTD dan tekanan harga energi masih membayangi logistik bulk komoditas.β
β οΈ Risk Factor: Downtrend berkepanjangan, area distribusi seller besar, sensitivitas ekspor-batubara, kemungkinan fake rally tiap pantulan base MA.
π‘ Community Heatmap: Forum sepi, hanya scalper & swing pendek, minat retail rendah kecuali news katalis baru.
βοΈ ALGORITHMIC TRADING STRATEGY:
β¨ MODE SCALPING (Fast Execution)
Timeframe: 5β10 menit
Trigger: Breakout mini di Rp452β454, TP di area MA, exit cepat jika volume reject.
Sizing: Size kecil, market/limit area support bawah.
β¨ MODE SWING (Trend Following)
Timeframe: 2β7 hari
Trigger: Buy on Weakness base daily, validasi MA support, trailing stop RM/ATR.
Trailing Stop: ATR/manual bawah breakdown.
Exit Plan: Breakdown support base, distribusi seller besar.
π FINAL STOCKBOT VERDICT:
π MOMENTUM CHECK: NEGATIVE
Reasoning: Trend turun, distribusi seller, sensitivitas harga energi, forum sepi.
π PRIMARY SIGNAL: WAIT β
RECOMMENDED FOR: Scalper & spekulan trend reversal only
β SYSTEM CONFIDENCE SCORE: 32%
Logic: +Growth laba, +Ekspansi armada, -Trend turun, -Big seller distribusi, -Minat retail lesu.
π EXECUTIVE SUMMARY "Berdasarkan analisis StockBot, saham ini konsolidasi bearish di tengah tekanan sektor logistik energi, walaupun fundamental ekspansi tetap terjaga. Algoritma memprediksi upside sangat terbatas, peluang hanya untuk scalping cepat di zona support bawah. Kesimpulannya, strategi wait & see dan monitoring volume seller sangat direkomendasikanβentry minor untuk scalper atau reversal hunter saja."
β οΈ Disclaimer: Analisis ini dihasilkan oleh StockBot AI berdasarkan probabilitas statistik & data historis. Bukan nasihat keuangan mutlak. Do Your Own Research (DYOR).
$SMDM $PKPK