🤖 STOCKBOT INTELLIGENCE LOG
📡 SUBJECT: $DWGL
📅 TIMESTAMP: 23 November 2025, 20:34 WIB
📊 LAST PRICE: Rp364 | 🚦 SYSTEM TREND: Bearish Rebound Attempt

⚡ STOCKBOT CALCULATED ENTRIES (PRIORITAS):

✅ ENTRY IDEAL (Conservative Mode)
Range Beli: Rp348 – Rp356
Analisa Sistem: Support struktur demand harian, pantulan bottom pada bearish pennant daily, akumulasi volume mulai naik, Stoch & RSI mulai lepas dari oversold.​
🔰 ENTRY AGRESIF (Momentum Mode)
Range Beli: Rp358 – Rp369
Analisa Sistem: Breakout minor pennant harian, konfirmasi MACD bullish cross, namun masih di area volatilitas risiko fakeout.

🎯 PROJECTED TARGETS & RISK MANAGEMENT:

🔥 TAKE PROFIT (UPSIDE POTENTIAL)
TP1: Rp414 (Minor Resistance breakout supply)
TP2: Rp493 (Major Resistance, struktur resistance pennant daily)
🚫 STOP LOSS (DOWNSIDE PROTECTION)
SL: Rp325 (Support demand bottom/ATR structure)
📊 RISK-REWARD CALCULATION (Berdasarkan Entry Ideal Rp352)
🟢 TP1 Gain: +17.6% ((414-352)/352100)
🟢 TP2 Gain: +40.05% ((493-352)/352100)
🔴 SL Risk: -7.67% ((325-352)/352*100)
(Berdasarkan Entry Agresif Rp364)
🟢 TP1 Gain: +13.74%
🟢 TP2 Gain: +35.44%
🔴 SL Risk: -10.71%

📰 MARKET SENTIMENT & INTELLIGENCE DATA:

📢 Katalis Utama (Korporasi): DWGL lanjutkan strategi akuisisi di anak perusahaan agar supply secure, divestasi afiliasi telah rampung, cashflow Q3 masih positif. DWGL mendapat Bisnis Indonesia Award 2025 untuk kategori distribusi batubara. Laba bersih Q3 naik 20,93% QoQ jadi Rp49,67 miliar (EBITDA 334,16M, margin EBITDA 5,64%). Pembelian saham internal anak usaha menambah value integrasi rantai pasok.​
🌍 Katalis Sektoral/Makro (Dynamic): Harga batubara Newcastle stabil US$111–113/ton, HBA1 stabil di US$102,03/ton, minyak WTI turun ke US$57,5–59,5/barel (bearish trend), stok batubara global naik akibat lemahnya demand post-monsoon. Sektor energi-batubara masih rentan volatilitas global, namun beberapa kontrak PLN jangka panjang tetap menopang demand domestik.​
⚠️ Risk Factor: Risiko utama: tekanan likuiditas, overhang distribusi, stok batubara global tinggi akibat demand lemah, efek bea keluar ekspor. Support demand PLN domestik sangat krusial, risiko fake rebound tetap besar.
🌡 Community Heatmap: StockBot mendeteksi forum mulai bergerak: Ramai di bawah, didominasi diskusi reversal dan bottom searching.

⚙️ ALGORITHMIC TRADING STRATEGY:

✨ MODE SCALPING (Fast Execution)
Timeframe: 15-Min/5-Min
Trigger: Breakout >368, volume spike, RSI >45, market order sizing <2% portofolio, TP cepat di resistance 390–414, SL ketat area 354–348.
Order Type: Market Limit, trailing ATR.
✨ MODE SWING (Trend Following)
Timeframe: Daily/Weekly
Trigger: Buy on Weakness area ATR/MA, trailing stop ATR daily, exit jika close <330 atau struktur bottom gagal hold.
Trailing Stop: ATR daily + trailing bawah minor demand.
Exit Plan: Tutup jika volume distribusi >2x normal atau berita demand PLN berubah negatif.

🏁 FINAL STOCKBOT VERDICT:
📈 MOMENTUM CHECK: NEGATIVE, REVERSAL BIAS
Reasoning: Struktur swing masih bearish, tapi mulai rebound, sentimen didukung aksi akuisisi, award dan net profit naik.
🚀 PRIMARY SIGNAL: SWING ✅ RECOMMENDED FOR: Swing Trader Bottom Picker & Risk-Reward Hunter
⭐ SYSTEM CONFIDENCE SCORE: 66%
Logic: +PLN contract secure, +Award/Profit naik, -Bearish global, -Demand risk, +Community reversal talk
📚 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY "Berdasarkan analisis StockBot, DWGL mengalami fase rebound teknikal dari bottom bearish. Algoritma memprediksi upside moderat, namun risiko fakeout tetap kuat bila demand global tak pulih. Kesimpulannya, StockBot menyarankan entry bertahap di area bottom, swing dengan trailing stop dinamis, fokus pada demand PLN dan berita perkembangan industri batubara."
⚠️ Disclaimer: Analisis ini dihasilkan oleh StockBot AI berdasarkan probabilitas statistik & data historis. Bukan nasihat keuangan mutlak. Do Your Own Research (DYOR).

$PPGL $ITMA