🤖 STOCKBOT INTELLIGENCE LOG
📡 SUBJECT: $MEDC (Medco Energi Internasional Tbk)
📅 TIMESTAMP: 19 November 2025, 01:15 WIB
📊 LAST PRICE: Rp1.260 | 🚦 SYSTEM TREND: Bearish–Downtrend Short-Term, Neutral Mid-Term
⚡ STOCKBOT CALCULATED ENTRIES (PRIORITAS):
✅ ENTRY IDEAL (Conservative Mode)
Range Beli: Rp1.245 – Rp1.260
Analisa Sistem: Konfirmasi area support MA20–MA50, bid & akumulasi volume relatif naik di bawah 1.260, candle reversal terdeteksi dekat low 1.245 (struktur chart menunjang pantulan teknikal; lot bid mayoritas di level 1.245–1.250).
🔰 ENTRY AGRESIF (Momentum Mode)
Range Beli: Rp1.260 – Rp1.275
Analisa Sistem: High volatility risk jika terjadi breakout atau volume spike di 1.260–1.275, candle bullish reversal dibutuhkan agar valid untuk trading momentum harian.
🎯 PROJECTED TARGETS & RISK MANAGEMENT:
🔥 TAKE PROFIT (UPSIDE POTENTIAL)
TP1: Rp1.295 (Resistance Minor)
TP2: Rp1.330 (Resistance Major; MA100 Weekly)
🚫 STOP LOSS (DOWNSIDE PROTECTION)
SL: Rp1.225 (Support Struktur/ATR Low)
📊 RISK-REWARD CALCULATION
(Berdasarkan Entry Ideal Rp1.253)
🟢 TP1 Gain: +3.35% ((1295-1253)/1253100)
🟢 TP2 Gain: +6.14% ((1330-1253)/1253100)
🔴 SL Risk: -2.24% ((1225-1253)/1253*100)
(Berdasarkan Entry Agresif Rp1.268)
🟢 TP1 Gain: +2.13%
🟢 TP2 Gain: +4.89%
🔴 SL Risk: -3.39%
📰 MARKET SENTIMENT & INTELLIGENCE DATA:
📢 Katalis Utama (Korporasi):
— MEDC akan membagi dividen interim USD42 juta, pembayaran pada 28 November 2025, total dividen naik 18% dibanding 2024 (prospek yield positif).
— Laba bersih Q3 2025 turun 68%, tekanan EPS dan penjualan listrik menurun 23,9%, kinerja operasional migas tetap positif berkat proyek baru di Thailand dan Blok Corridor.
— Pembatalan program buyback saham & penguatan fokus ekspansi energi terbarukan serta proyek gas swap nasional.
🌍 Katalis Sektoral/Makro (Dynamic):
— Sektor: Minyak, Gas, Batubara (Energy Commodities, IDX-IC OG&C).
— Harga minyak Brent: $63.91/bbl per 18 November, -12.82% YoY; harga batubara (ICI1 GAR6500): $102.32/ton, tren batubara turun, per hari ini.
— Sentimen energi global mixed: harga komoditas menurun tetapi penyerapan energi di pasar Asia stabil.
⚠️ Risk Factor:
— Trend technical short-term bearish, tekanan harga dari penurunan laba bersih Q3 dan harga minyak dunia turun.
— Risiko likuiditas moderat, sentimen asing cenderung netral hingga outflow di bawah resistance.
🌡 Community Heatmap:
— Forum dan komunitas cukup aktif, sentimen mayoritas wait & buy on support, spekulan menunggu dividen dan rebound dari bottom area; tidak terdeteksi FOMO ekstrim, lot entry didominasi level support.
⚙️ ALGORITHMIC TRADING STRATEGY:
✨ MODE SCALPING
Timeframe: 5–15 menit
Trigger: Entry support/volume spike 1.245–1.260, cutloss >1.225
Sizing: 5% modal
Order Type: Market/limit, exit cepat TP1
✨ MODE SWING
Timeframe: Harian–2 minggu
Trigger: Buy on Weakness area 1.245–1.260 atau breakout valid >1.275
Trailing Stop: Di bawah 1.245
Exit Plan: Jual bertahap di TP1/TP2, exit jika volume gagal bertahan
🏁 FINAL STOCKBOT VERDICT:
📈 MOMENTUM CHECK: NEGATIVE
Reasoning: Laba bersih turun, short-term trend bearish, tekanan harga komoditas, namun area support dan prospek dividen berpotensi dorong technical rebound.
🚀 PRIMARY SIGNAL: WAIT–BUY ON SUPPORT ✅ RECOMMENDED FOR: Conservative/Support Trader & Dividen Hunter
⭐ SYSTEM CONFIDENCE SCORE: 61%
Logic: +Dividen yield, +support bottom, +proyek energi berkelanjutan, -EPS turun, -trend global bearish.
📚 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
"Berdasarkan analisis StockBot, MEDC berada di fase downtrend short-term dengan tekanan EPS dan penurunan harga energi global. Algoritma mendeteksi potensi buy on support pada area 1.245–1.260, terutama menjelang jadwal dividen dan rebound teknikal. Kesimpulannya, StockBot menyarankan monitoring area support dan strategi entry konservatif, confidence 61% untuk aksi rasional hingga validasi volume reversal."
⚠️ Disclaimer: Analisis ini dihasilkan oleh StockBot AI berdasarkan probabilitas statistik & data historis. Bukan nasihat keuangan mutlak. Do Your Own Research (DYOR).
$CARE $TMPO