$COIN

ENTRY IDEAL & AGRESIF
✅ ENTRY IDEAL: Rp3.050–Rp3.080
(Alasan teknikal singkat: support EMA21/MA50 harian, demand base, candle reversal minor bullish, konfirmasi volume, area konsolidasi sebelum breakout pada trend naik, akumulasi bid orderbook kuat di bawah closing.)​

🔰 ENTRY AGRESIF: Rp3.090–Rp3.120
(Alasan teknikal: follow momentum breakout candle dan spike volume pada overbought, risiko false breakout tinggi, validasi buy on strength dengan konfirmasi volume besar di sesi pagi.)​

TAKE PROFIT (TP) & STOP LOSS (SL)
🔥 TAKE PROFIT (TP):
TP1: Rp3.350
(Alasan singkat: resistance pivot, supply zone harian, area distribusi setelah euforia breakout dan volume tinggi di orderbook, basis swing high sebelumnya.)​

TP2: Rp3.500
(Alasan singkat: resistance berikutnya, top swing minggu lalu, area distribusi volume dan pivot psikologis, TP swing trader jika momentum rally berlanjut.)​

🚫 STOP LOSS (SL):
SL: Rp2.990
(Alasan: candle reversal/spike low, ATR(14) ±45, SL = Entry Ideal–ATR, rumus: 3.050–45=3.005; konservatif di bawah MA50 dan support orderbook, rounding psikologis bawah.)

📊 RISK-REWARD PERSENTASE
Dari Entry Ideal (Rp3.065):
TP1: +(3.350–3.065)/3.065100 ≈ +9.3%
TP2: +(3.500–3.065)/3.065100 ≈ +14.2%
SL : –(3.065–2.990)/3.065*100 ≈ –2.4%

Dari Entry Agresif (Rp3.105):
TP1: +(3.350–3.105)/3.105100 ≈ +7.9%
TP2: +(3.500–3.105)/3.105100 ≈ +12.7%
SL : –(3.105–2.990)/3.105*100 ≈ –3.7%

📰 ISU, BERITA & SENTIMEN PASAR
Fundamental & Katalis:

COIN cetak laba bersih Rp41,1 miliar Q3/2025, pendapatan meroket 19x YoY, volume transaksi kripto tumbuh pesat terutama derivatif (+118% QoQ)—minat investor tinggi; arus kas operasi positif, ekspansi derivatif di Bursa CFX, tren transaksi aset kripto nasional meningkat.​

Risiko & Sentimen Negatif:

Valuasi masih sangat premium (PBV ~1,7x), volatilitas tinggi di pasar kripto, risiko supply shock jika profit taking post-rebound; pelemahan saham sempat muncul setelah spike naik akibat sentimen rumor dan news, perlu validasi volume dan price action tiap sesi open.​

Sentimen Komunitas/Market:

Komunitas euforia breakout pasca aksi borong investor retail & institusi, frekuensi bid tinggi dan heatmap orderbook dominasi beli, namun diskusi risk pullback juga marak terutama di area swing TP; banyak scalping dan short-term entry di forum.​

🔥 TEKNIKAL & MOMENTUM (per-timeframe)

Timeframe utama yang dianalisa: 15m & Daily

5m: Candle reversal/impulse, volume bid tinggi, sinyal initial scalp valid.

15m: EMA9>EMA21 cross up, MACD positif, Stoch RSI >79, RSI14=61.9, volume up, bullish momentum.

Daily: Struktur HH/HL, breakout bullish candle, EMA9>EMA21, RSI overbought=79.9, MACD histogram naik, BBands melebar, OBV/Volume Profile konfirmasi momentum up, VPVR HVN di Rp2.900–3.080.​

✨ STRATEGI TRADING (Scalping)

Timeframe: 5m–15m

Rules entry: Buy limit di retrace EMA/MA, batch kedua breakout, trailing ketat di bawah candle support minor.

TP/SL & sizing: Batch 1=40% TP1, batch 2=30% volume up, batch 3=30% trailing ATR.

Contoh order: limit/support, trailing ATR(7), market order pada volume spike breakout.

✨ STRATEGI TRADING (Swing/Hold)

Timeframe: Daily–4H

Rules entry & scaling in: Entry kecil di area demand, scaling saat breakout valid, tambah bid pada closing volume up.

Trailing stop method: ATR-based, SL geser di bawah spike demand, exit batch di TP1/TP2/candle reversal.

Exit plan: TP1 locked profit, TP2 jika rally masih valid, cut loss candle bearish atau berita negatif.

📈 MOMENTUM NAIK/TIDAK?

Kesimpulan: Momentum naik masih valid, euforia volume dan breakout, kombinasi indikator bullish, sentimen news dan volume investor naik; tetap waspada risiko overbought dan retrace mendadak.

SINYAL:
🚀 Sinyal (Scalping / Swing): Buy pada retrace support breakout, EMA9>EMA21 cross, RSI dan Stoch bullish, MACD up, volume spike. Trailing wajib ketat di TP/SL area resistance.

✅ Cocok Untuk: Scalping & Swing—volatilitas ekstrim, momentum teknikal dan sentimen mendukung, risk profit taking harian tinggi, tidak cocok hold tanpa manajemen risk.

✨ Confident:

Nilai confidence 74%. Sinyal uptrend valid, breakout volume besar, euforia news & retail, risiko retrace explosive tetap ada.

✨ TIMEFRAME UTAMA:

15m & Daily

📊 INDIKATOR UTAMA:

EMA9/21/50/100/200, MA20/50/100, ATR14, RSI14, MACD12.26.9, Bollinger Bands20.2, VWAP, Stoch RSI, OBV, Volume Profile.

📚 RINGKASAN – [07 Nov 2025]
COIN breakout bullish Q3 fundamental, volume euforia didukung aksi buy investor, swing area TP dan resistance harus dipantau, risk retrace tinggi. Disiplin TP/SL, batch entry & exit wajib.

DISCLAIMER:
Bukan nasihat keuangan. Selalu gunakan manajemen risiko, position sizing, dan disiplinplin TP/SL.

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