$CENT

ENTRY IDEAL & AGRESIF
✅ ENTRY IDEAL: Rp134–Rp138
(Alasan teknikal singkat: support horizontal dan basis EMA9, candle minor bullish, volume mulai naik, permintaan dan antrian bid tebal di orderbook, konfirmasi pattern re-akumulasi dengan RSI1054 & Stoch RSI recovery.)​

🔰 ENTRY AGRESIF: Rp140–Rp142
(Alasan teknikal: follow momentum breakout candle, konfirmasi volume spike & buyer di atas EMA9/MA14, risiko false breakout masih tinggi tanpa follow up candle volume besar.)

TAKE PROFIT (TP) & STOP LOSS (SL)
🔥 TAKE PROFIT (TP):
TP1: Rp149
(Alasan singkat: resistance harga sesi hari ini, daily supply zone, orderbook offer tebal, dan target short-swing setelah akumulasi.)​

TP2: Rp155
(Alasan singkat: resistance kuat, swing high, basis volume peak bulan lalu, potensi area distribusi setelah break rerata MA50 harian.)​

🚫 STOP LOSS (SL):
SL: Rp127
(Alasan: support structure spike low candle, ATR 14 ≈ 5, struktur krusial & volume defender; rumus: 134–5=129, prefer SL di bawah basis support bertahan.)

📊 RISK-REWARD PERSENTASE
Dari Entry Ideal (Rp136):
TP1: +(149–136)/136100 ≈ +9.6%
TP2: +(155–136)/136100 ≈ +14.0%
SL : –(136–127)/136*100 ≈ –6.6%

Dari Entry Agresif (Rp141):
TP1: +(149–141)/141100 ≈ +5.7%
TP2: +(155–141)/141100 ≈ +9.9%
SL : –(141–127)/141*100 ≈ –9.9%

📰 ISU, BERITA & SENTIMEN PASAR
Fundamental & Katalis:

Q3/2025 ekspansi usaha baru sektor listrik, penambahan bisnis fiber & data center, partnership dengan Surge untuk sewa aset menara dan fiber, dampak positif ke revenue tenancy masuk Q4/2025, aksi bond issuance dan rights issue memperkuat kas/ekuitas, target pertumbuhan pendapatan double digit 2025.​

Risiko & Sentimen Negatif:

RoE & EPS masih negatif (turnaround mode), tren earning masih underperformance, risiko UMA/suspect price action & sentimen euforia, pernah alami suspensi volatilitas tinggi, net income masih minus YoY, PBV premium dan volume fluktuatif memperbesar risiko koreksi.​

Sentimen Komunitas/Market:

Forum retail cenderung euforia pasca news, heatmap bid naik, komunitas aktif diskusi spekulatif, net bid tinggi di orderbook; tapi banyak yang exit cepat setelah swing short-term, tanda early distribution di resistance.​

🔥 TEKNIKAL & MOMENTUM (per-timeframe)

Timeframe utama yang dianalisa: 15m & Daily

5m: Breakout volume, candle bullish kuat, sinyal initial buy, potensi scalping valid pada first retrace.

15m: EMA9>EMA21, RSI recovery ke atas 54, Stoch RSI golden cross, volume uptrend.

Daily: Sideways namun range mulai naik, candle bullish breakout MA, close di atas EMA9/21, obv naik perlahan, Stoch RSI cross up, basis support bertahan, peak supply Mr 149-155.​

✨ STRATEGI TRADING (Scalping)

Timeframe: 5m–15m

Rules entry: Konfirmasi breakout volume/candle, batch limit di support, scaling batch saat breakout, trailing TP batch ATR(7).

TP/SL & sizing: Batch 1=40% TP1, batch 2=30% scaling, batch 3=30% trailing.

Contoh order: limit/batch, trailing di bawah volume spike dan lot support.

✨ STRATEGI TRADING (Swing/Hold)

Timeframe: Daily–4H

Rules entry & scaling in: Bertahap di zona demand (EMA9 area), scaling pada breakout harian, add major batch bila daily close >142/volume up.

Trailing stop method: ATR-based, scaling SL naik seiring running profit, batch exit di peak volume resistance.

Exit plan: TP1 partial, TP2 rally momentum, cut jika muncul candle bearish atau repetisi distribusi di area resistance/news negative.

📈 MOMENTUM NAIK/TIDAK?

Kesimpulan: Momentum naik valid, volume breakout dan katalis news, MA/EMA cross up, orderbook dominasi bid, sentimen retail mendukung; risiko profit taking & false breakout tetap besar.

SINYAL:
🚀 Sinyal (Scalping / Swing): Buy di retrace atau breakout support, konfirmasi breakout volume, EMA9>21 cross, RSI>54, candle bullish valid, trailing ATR ketat dan TP bertahap di area distribusi.

✅ Cocok Untuk: Scalping & Swing — volatilitas tinggi, trend jangka pendek up, fundamental turnaround belum sustain.

✨ Confident:

Nilai confidence 70%. Sinyal teknikal & sentimentum news valid, downside risk tinggi akibat fluktuasi earning & distribusi high volatility.

✨ TIMEFRAME UTAMA:

15m & Daily

📊 INDIKATOR UTAMA:

EMA9/21, MA14/21/50, ATR14, RSI14, MACD12.26.9, Stoch RSI, OBV, Volume Profile, Bollinger Bands20.2, VWAP (intraday), CCI14

📚 RINGKASAN – [07 Nov 2025]
CENT breakout bullish pasca news ekspansi aset data & listrik, akumulasi volume dan orderbook valid, namun distribusi cepat di area TP. Entry batch bertahap dan risk manajemen sangat wajib.

DISCLAIMER:
Bukan nasihat keuangan. Selalu gunakan manajemen risiko, position sizing, dan disiplinsiplin TP/SL.

$SMMT $CBRE