$AEGS
ENTRY IDEAL & AGRESIF
✅ ENTRY IDEAL: Rp61–Rp65
(Alasan teknikal singkat: support EMA9/MA21 dan BBands lower daily, harga close di base range, terjadi doji/long tail rejection, volume micro rebound, RSI14 mendekati oversold, Stoch RSI reversal up.)
🔰 ENTRY AGRESIF: Rp66–Rp69
(Alasan teknikal: Entry agresif di atas MA21/EMA9 jika break level supply minor dan candle hijau >2 bar serta volume spike konfirmasi, risiko fakeout tinggi tanpa akumulasi lanjutan.)
TAKE PROFIT (TP) & STOP LOSS (SL)
🔥 TAKE PROFIT (TP):
TP1: Rp73
(Alasan singkat: Resistance BBands mid, volume node offer, swing high minor di weekly range, area distribusi ritel.)
TP2: Rp80
(Alasan singkat: Target upper BBands weekly, supply zone, cluster major distribusi atau sentiment positive reversal.)
🚫 STOP LOSS (SL):
SL: Rp59
(Alasan: ATR(14) sekitar 2, SL = Entry Ideal - ATR = 61–2=59 (rounded), support demand minor dan shadow konsolidasi.)
📊 RISK-REWARD PERSENTASE
Dari Entry Ideal (Rp63):
TP1: +(73-63)/63100 = +15.87%
TP2: +(80-63)/63100 = +26.98%
SL : -(63-59)/63*100 = -6.35%
Dari Entry Agresif (Rp67.5):
TP1: +(73-67.5)/67.5100 = +8.15%
TP2: +(80-67.5)/67.5100 = +18.52%
SL : -(67.5-59)/67.5*100 = -12.59%
📰 ISU, BERITA & SENTIMEN PASAR
Fundamental & Katalis:
6M25 revenue flat di Rp13,3 miliar, gross profit 2,9 miliar (gross margin 21,8%), EBITDA margin rendah di 6,9%, bottom line masih rugi bersih Rp158 juta; arus kas positif, gearing rendah (DER 0,08), likuiditas cukup, export Asia Tenggara (filters) bertambah sedikit.
Perusahaan ekspansi channel export, ujar pembatasan kompetitor OEM memperbaiki prospek, market domestik jenuh.
Kinerja 2024 stagnan, saham AEGS sempat anjlok setelah setahun IPO, sentimen pasar cukup hati-hati di base support.
Risiko & Sentimen Negatif:
Net margin negatif, EPS negatif, PER tidak atraktif, risk switching profit-taking besar jika volume gagal sustain breakout.
Volatilitas tinggi, spread lebar, aksi bid-offer ritel cepat berubah di level low.
Sentimen Komunitas/Market:
Forum komunitas wait & see di level support, mini batch scalping dominan, heatmap mixed dengan volume kecil.
🔥 TEKNIKAL & MOMENTUM (per-timeframe)
Timeframe utama yang dianalisa: 15m & Daily
5m: Sideways konsolidasi di base, doji/pin bar dan micro reversal, volume rebound mini.
15m: Tendensi sideways, candle reversal mulai muncul, Stoch RSI naik, scalping low-range valid.
Daily: Struktur HH/HL minor, candle rejection, EMA9≈MA21, RSI14: 58,6 mendekati oversold, BBands netral, VPVR HVN 63–73, OBV stabil.
(Indikator utama: EMA9/21, MA50, RSI14, ATR14, MACD, BBands(20,2), OBV, Stoch RSI.)
✨ STRATEGI TRADING (Scalping)
Timeframe: 5m–15m
Rules entry: Candle tail/doji reversal, volume micro di base, exit cepat TP1 batch, trailing tight.
TP/SL & sizing: batch 1=40% TP1, batch 2=30%, scaling trailing mini batch.
Contoh order: limit di 61/63, market exit jika reversal fail.
✨ STRATEGI TRADING (Swing/Hold)
Timeframe: Daily–Weekly
Rules entry & scaling in: Batch kecil di konsolidasi base, tambah saat breakout >69, trailing ATR.
Exit: scaling TP1/TP2, trailing SL jika candle merah close di bawah base.
📈 MOMENTUM NAIK/TIDAK?
Kesimpulan: Ada peluang rebound base, didukung oversold minor, konfirmasi reversal di base, risk utama gagal breakout dan switching cepat fundamental minim.
SINYAL:
🚀 Sinyal (Scalping / Swing): Scalping: Entry di base candle tail, exit batch TP1, trailing micro. Swing: scaling mini saat breakout, trailing ATR ketat.
✅ Cocok Untuk: Scalping low/micro swing — best untuk entry batch kecil, risk/minim, investor defensif.
✨ Confident:
Confidence 53% — teknikal base valid, risk reward atraktif, fundamental masih stagnan, volume tidak konsisten.
✨ TIMEFRAME UTAMA:
15m & Daily
📊 INDIKATOR UTAMA:
EMA9/21, MA50, RSI14, ATR14, MACD, BBands, OBV, Stoch RSI.
📚 RINGKASAN – [05 Nov 2025]
AEGS rebound base support di EMA9/21 dengan konfirmasi volume minor, risk ditandai spread lebar, peluang hanya cocok scalping/miniswing micro batch.
DISCLAIMER:
Bukan nasihat keuangan. Selalu gunakan manajemen risiko, position sizing, dan disiplin TP/SL.
$FAST $JATI