$ASLC
ENTRY IDEAL & AGRESIF
✅ ENTRY IDEAL: Rp90–Rp92
(Alasan teknikal singkat: support EMA9/MA21, area base BBands middle, konfirmasi sideway support volume, reversal stochastic RSI dari oversold, daily close di support band.)
🔰 ENTRY AGRESIF: Rp93–Rp96
(Alasan teknikal: Entry breakout area MA21 & MA50, konfirmasi sell-off micro untuk scalping, risiko false breakout tinggi tanpa candle hijau >2 bar & spike volume.)
TAKE PROFIT (TP) & STOP LOSS (SL)
🔥 TAKE PROFIT (TP):
TP1: Rp101
(Alasan singkat: Resistance BBands upper, pivot swing high range, distribusi volume cluster offer book.)
TP2: Rp109
(Alasan singkat: Supply zone dan swing high, target upper BBands weekly, VPVR HVN.)
🚫 STOP LOSS (SL):
SL: Rp88
(Alasan: ATR(14) sekitar 4, SL = Entry Ideal - ATR = 92–4=88, diambil di cluster demand minor candle hari sebelumnya.)
📊 RISK-REWARD PERSENTASE
Dari Entry Ideal (Rp91):
TP1: +(101-91)/91100 = +10.99%
TP2: +(109-91)/91100 = +19.78%
SL : -(91-88)/91*100 = -3.30%
Dari Entry Agresif (Rp94.5):
TP1: +(101-94.5)/94.5100 = +6.89%
TP2: +(109-94.5)/94.5100 = +15.34%
SL : -(94.5-88)/94.5*100 = -6.88%
📰 ISU, BERITA & SENTIMEN PASAR
Fundamental & Katalis:
Q3 2025 laba bersih Rp30 miliar (-25% YoY), pendapatan naik 15% YoY ke Rp713 miliar, penjualan mobil bekas naik 26% (3.000 unit); digitalisasi & ekspansi showroom, https://cutt.ly/Rr6On7Ig 71% contribution.
Margin tertekan akibat dominasi unit di bawah Rp200 juta (gross profit rendah) dan beban ekspansi cabang.
Ekspansi O2O, integrasi ekosistem mobil bekas, pengembangan layanan garansi serta mobil listrik, target 2 showroom baru akhir 2025.
Risiko & Sentimen Negatif:
Laba turun signifikan akibat beban tinggi; jika ekspansi gagal monetize cepat, risk tekanan berlanjut.
Sell-off dan profit-taking intens saat harga mendekati Rp101 dan di bawah MA21, spread melar.
Sentimen Komunitas/Market:
Komunitas ritel wait & see area support, diskusi aktif di micro scalping, heatmap kuning area mid-range.
🔥 TEKNIKAL & MOMENTUM (per-timeframe)
Timeframe utama yang dianalisa: 15m & Daily
5m: Konsolidasi micro, sideways, bid-offer tipis, candle reversal kecil di area base.
15m: Konsolidasi volume naik, stochastic dan RSI reversal, momentum mulai recovery setelah sell-off edge.
Daily: Struktur sideway, HH/HL minor masih valid, EMA9≈EMA21, RSI14=49.2, MACD flat, OBV stabil, BBands menyempit, VPVR HVN di 91–97.
(Indikator utama: EMA9/21, MA50/100, RSI14, ATR14, MACD(12,26,9), BBands, VPVR, OBV, Stoch RSI.)
✨ STRATEGI TRADING (Scalping)
Timeframe: 5m–15m
Rules entry: Limit buy di base EMA, candle hijau 1-2 bar & mini volume, exit TP1.
TP/SL & sizing: batch 1=40% TP1, batch 2=30%, scaling trailing batch.
Contoh order: limit/market di micro-range support, batch scaling jika volume sustain.
✨ STRATEGI TRADING (Swing/Hold)
Timeframe: Daily–Weekly
Rules entry & scaling in: Mini batch di base sideway, scaling breakout closing >MA50, trailing stop ATR.
Exit: batch scaling TP1/TP2, trailing SL di close merah breakdown atau gap down.
📈 MOMENTUM NAIK/TIDAK?
Kesimpulan: Ada potensi recovery naik jika micro volume sustain, didukung katalis revenue & ekosistem O2O, namun trend major masih sideway-berat, pelebaran spread dan aksi scalping dominan.
SINYAL:
🚀 Sinyal (Scalping / Swing): Scalping: Entry EMA/BBands base, exit TP1, trailing batch mini. Swing: batch scaling closing >MA21-50, trailing ATR batch.
✅ Cocok Untuk: Scalping & mini swing — best entry di fase sideways-support, TP/SL dan scaling wajib disiplin.
✨ Confident:
Confidence 61% — sideway base stabil, ekspansi & digitalisasi mendukung, tetapi growth profit masih lemah dan volume labil.
✨ TIMEFRAME UTAMA:
15m & Daily
📊 INDIKATOR UTAMA:
EMA9/21, MA50/100, RSI14, ATR14, MACD(12,26,9), BBands, VPVR, OBV, Stoch RSI.
📚 RINGKASAN – [05 Nov 2025]
ASLC sideway base dengan support valid, peluang risiko teknikal recovery jika volume naik, namun fundamental laba masih turun. Rekomendasi scalping/mini swing batch kecil disiplin.
DISCLAIMER:
Bukan nasihat keuangan. Selalu gunakan manajemen risiko, position sizing, dan disiplin TP/SL.
$ARGO $NRCA