$KDTN
ENTRY IDEAL & AGRESIF
โ
ENTRY IDEAL: Rp148โRp158
(Alasan teknikal singkat: support EMA9/MA21, BBands lower, base volume support, candle bullish reject wicks, price masih di struktur uptrend HH/HL, konfirmasi buyer orderbook masih masuk.)โโ
๐ฐ ENTRY AGRESIF: Rp162โRp170
(Alasan teknikal: Entry agresif saat harga reversal candle konfirmasi di atas MA50, break pivot high kemarin, risiko false breakout tinggi jika volume gagal spike atau market open lemah.)โโ
TAKE PROFIT (TP) & STOP LOSS (SL)
๐ฅ TAKE PROFIT (TP):
TP1: Rp185
(Alasan singkat: Resistance BBands upper, area distribusi volume spike, retrace dari swing high sebelumnya.)โโ
TP2: Rp212
(Alasan singkat: Target supply zone weekly, swing high top Oktober/November, cluster heavy offer book.)โโ
๐ซ STOP LOSS (SL):
SL: Rp142
(Alasan: ATR(14) sekitar 8โ10, SL = Entry Ideal - ATR = 150โ8 = 142, level support BBands lower/MA100.)โโ
๐ RISK-REWARD PERSENTASE
Dari Entry Ideal (Rp153):
TP1: +(185-153)/153100 = +20.92%
TP2: +(212-153)/153100 = +38.56%
SL : -(153-142)/153*100 = -7.19%
Dari Entry Agresif (Rp166):
TP1: +(185-166)/166100 = +11.45%
TP2: +(212-166)/166100 = +27.71%
SL : -(166-142)/166*100 = -14.45%
๐ฐ ISU, BERITA & SENTIMEN PASAR
Fundamental & Katalis:
KDTN siapkan lounge baru rest area tol trans Jawa, target operasi 2026, pionir hotel jalur tol, ekspansi hospitality, kolaborasi dengan F&B lifestyle & UMKM.โ
Q4 akan buka fasilitas padel club olahraga di Hotel Kedaton 8 Sentul, strategi diversifikasi operasional dan naikkan pendapatan recurring.โ
Saham sempat menjadi top gainer awal November +27% dan trending di komunitas trader pasca sentimen berita ekspansi.โ
Risiko & Sentimen Negatif:
Profit-taking besar setelah swing high, volatilitas >10%/hari, gap dan spread bid-offer sangat lebar.โโ
Jika volume drop di bawah base EMA21, risk breakdown tinggi, sentimen ritel berubah sangat cepat.
Sentimen Komunitas/Market:
Komunitas diskusi euforia di area top gainers, heatmap hijau di base entry, forum cenderung swing/scalping mini batch, institusi masih akumulasi ritel.โ
๐ฅ TEKNIKAL & MOMENTUM (per-timeframe)
Timeframe utama yang dianalisa: 15m & Daily
5m: Candle reversal di base, volume naik sesi open, valid untuk scalping breakout BBands.
15m: Konsolidasi retrace di base moving average, indikator momentum mulai balik naik, volume mulai terakumulasi.
Daily: Struktur uptrend HH/HL, BBands open, EMA9>EMA21, RSI14 = 62 (bullish), MACD positif, VPVR HVN di 148โ185, OBV menanjak.
(Indikator utama: EMA9/21/50, MA100, RSI14, ATR14, MACD, VPVR, BBands, Stoch RSI.)
โจ STRATEGI TRADING (Scalping)
Timeframe: 5mโ15m
Rules entry: Candle bullish >1 bar, volume naik di base close, exit rapid di TP1, trailing batch SL.
TP/SL & sizing: batch 1=50% modal TP1, batch 2=30%, scaling fast batch exit/market.
Contoh order: limit di base BBands, exit scaling atau trailing batch jika volume spike.
โจ STRATEGI TRADING (Swing/Hold)
Timeframe: DailyโWeekly
Rules entry & scaling in: Entry batch kecil di base, scaling breakout MA50, trailing stop ATR-based.
Exit: scaling batch di TP1/TP2, trailing di close atau volume drop.
๐ MOMENTUM NAIK/TIDAK?
Kesimpulan: Masih ada potensi naik โ high risk-reward, didukung sentimen positif ekspansi, struktur HH/HL, indikator bullish, belum didistribusi penuh.
SINYAL:
๐ Sinyal (Scalping / Swing): Scalping: Entry base BBands, exit di spike TP1, trailing batch. Swing: batch mini scaling breakout, trailing stop ATR/EMA cross.
โ
Cocok Untuk: Scalping & swing aktif โ risk elevated, reward besar jika disiplin scaling SL/TP, best untuk trader aktif.
โจ Confident:
Confidence 66% โ euforia ekspansi, struktur uptrend, indikator mendukung, namun risk volatilitas dan switching besar.
โจ TIMEFRAME UTAMA:
15m & Daily
๐ INDIKATOR UTAMA:
EMA9/21/50, MA100, RSI14, ATR14, MACD(12,26,9), VWAP, VPVR, BBands, Stoch RSI.
๐ RINGKASAN โ [05 Nov 2025]
KDTN trending euforia pasca berita lounge dan diversifikasi hospitality, struktur HH/HL valid, volume spike, risk tinggi โ rekomendasi scalping/swing scaling batch mini, disiplin SL batch.โโ
DISCLAIMER:
Bukan nasihat keuangan. Selalu gunakan manajemen risiko, position sizing, dan disiplin TP/SL.
$POLU $RUNS