$SPRE

ENTRY IDEAL & AGRESIF
✅ ENTRY IDEAL: Rp110–Rp119
(Alasan teknikal singkat: support EMA9/MA21 harian, breakout volume kuat, candle bullish engulfing, price close di atas range konsolidasi dan MA kunci, konfirmasi momentum Stoch RSI, struktur HH/HL mulai terbentuk.)​​

🔰 ENTRY AGRESIF: Rp120–Rp125
(Alasan teknikal: Entry agresif pada closing breakout upper BBands dan orderbook offer tipis, risiko false breakout tinggi tanpa sustain volume pada minor reversal candle.)​​

TAKE PROFIT (TP) & STOP LOSS (SL)
🔥 TAKE PROFIT (TP):
TP1: Rp129
(Alasan singkat: Resistance swing high BBands upper, volume distributed orderbook cluster, level retrace setelah rally gap September.)​​

TP2: Rp140
(Alasan singkat: Target supply zone weekly/swing high, area distribusi atas, proyeksi upper channel breakout.)​​

🚫 STOP LOSS (SL):
SL: Rp107
(Alasan: ATR(14) sekitar 6, SL = Entry Ideal - ATR = 113–6=107, diambil di support BBands dan pivot base.)​​

📊 RISK-REWARD PERSENTASE
Dari Entry Ideal (Rp114.5):
TP1: +(129-114.5)/114.5100 = +12.68%
TP2: +(140-114.5)/114.5100 = +22.27%
SL : -(114.5-107)/114.5*100 = -6.55%

Dari Entry Agresif (Rp122.5):
TP1: +(129-122.5)/122.5100 = +5.31%
TP2: +(140-122.5)/122.5100 = +14.29%
SL : -(122.5-107)/122.5*100 = -12.65%

📰 ISU, BERITA & SENTIMEN PASAR
Fundamental & Katalis:

Q3 2025 laba bersih Rp612 juta (+25.3% YoY), revenue Rp13 miliar (+34.3%), gross profit margin turun tipis jadi 31.9%, OCF positif, DER rendah 0.03, arus kas dan capex sehat.​

SPRE perluas pasar ke Sumatera, serap capex untuk kapasitas produksi kain rumah tangga, optimis target 2025 tercapai.​

Laporan Q2-Q3 konsisten, ekspansi dan penyerapan modal berjalan, tidak ada debt tinggi; fundamental tetap positif.​

Risiko & Sentimen Negatif:

Gross margin turun, risk switching cepat jika volume breakout gagal sustain; distribusi atas tipis dan sentimen ritel mudah berubah.​

Saham beta rendah, peluang sideways di range offer jika tidak sustain di closing breakout.​

Sentimen Komunitas/Market:

Forum ritel mulai ramai setelah breakout, heatmap cenderung hijau area base, mayoritas diskusi swing dan scaling entry batch mini.​

🔥 TEKNIKAL & MOMENTUM (per-timeframe)

Timeframe utama yang dianalisa: 15m & Daily

5m: Breakout minireversal, volume intraday naik, candle BBands middle-bounce valid untuk scalping.

15m: Struktur bullish up, Stoch RSI dan RSI reversal up, volume sustain di breakout minor.

Daily: Struktur HH/HL, EMA9>EMA21, RSI14 = 63.2 (bullish), MACD cross up/positive, OBV reversal naik, BBands open up, VPVR HVN di 114–129.
(Indikator utama: EMA9/21/50, RSI14, ATR14, MACD(12,26,9), VPVR, BBands, OBV, Stoch RSI.)

✨ STRATEGI TRADING (Scalping)

Timeframe: 5m–15m

Rules entry: Konfirmasi candle bullish & volume spike di base, exit limit TP1, scaling di area breakout.

TP/SL & sizing: batch 1=40% modal, batch 2=30%, trailing SL ketat area base.

Contoh order: limit di area support, exit scaling batch jika breakout gagal.

✨ STRATEGI TRADING (Swing/Hold)

Timeframe: Daily–Weekly

Rules entry & scaling in: Entry mini batch saat closing breakout EMA9/MA21, scaling di atas Rp125 jika volume sustain, trailing stop ATR.

Exit: scaling batch TP1/TP2, trailing SL jika volume drop dan candle merah.

📈 MOMENTUM NAIK/TIDAK?

Kesimpulan: Ada momentum naik — HH/HL klarifikasi uptrend, breakout volume konfirmasi, sentimen positif, fundamental support.

SINYAL:
🚀 Sinyal (Scalping / Swing): Scalping: entry bullish/volume spike base, exit batch TP1, trailing SL. Swing: scaling breakout EMA9, trailing ATR, exit di breakdown volume.

✅ Cocok Untuk: Scalping & swing aktif — rekomendasi untuk scaling entry batch mini, disiplin TP/SL tinggi.

✨ Confident:

Confidence 73% — bullish structure, fundamental support, volume naik; risk switching, low beta.

✨ TIMEFRAME UTAMA:

15m & Daily

📊 INDIKATOR UTAMA:

EMA9/21/50, RSI14, ATR14, MACD(12,26,9), BBands, OBV, VPVR, Stoch RSI.

📚 RINGKASAN – [05 Nov 2025]
SPRE breakout HH/HL di EMA9, volume naik, fundamental kuat (laba, kas sehat, ekspansi berjalan); best scalping/swing batch mini di area base, trailing disiplin.​​

DISCLAIMER:
Bukan nasihat keuangan. Selalu gunakan manajemen risiko, position sizing, dan disiplin TP/SL.

$MPIX $RELI