$PSGO

ENTRY IDEAL & AGRESIF
✅ ENTRY IDEAL: Rp224–Rp239
(Alasan teknikal singkat: support utama MA20/EMA21 daily, BB lower band, area retrace volume, candle doji/reversal muncul di area demand, tidak breakdown konsolidasi major HL.)​

🔰 ENTRY AGRESIF: Rp240–Rp245
(Alasan teknikal: entry pada rebound harga dari support minor, risiko false bounce tinggi, konfirmasi wajib candle bullish close & volume spike intraday, lebih cocok scalping momentum reversal.)

TAKE PROFIT (TP) & STOP LOSS (SL)
🔥 TAKE PROFIT (TP):
TP1: Rp253
(Alasan singkat: resistance swing high, BB upper, supply distribusi, serta MA50 daily yang selalu menjadi target pullback.)​

TP2: Rp263
(Alasan singkat: pivot high terakhir, resistance candle engulfing & distribusi volume, VPVR HVN dan upper band resistance.)​

🚫 STOP LOSS (SL):
SL: Rp214
(Alasan: support structure & ATR(14) daily ±10, lower BB, breakdown demand retrace; SL = entry - ATR.)

📊 RISK-REWARD PERSENTASE
Dari Entry Ideal (Rp231.5):
TP1: +9.24% (hitung: (253-231.5)/231.5100)
TP2: +13.59% (hitung: (263-231.5)/231.5100)
SL : -7.56% (hitung: (214-231.5)/231.5*100)

Dari Entry Agresif (Rp242):
TP1: +4.55%
TP2: +8.68%
SL : -11.57%

📰 ISU, BERITA & SENTIMEN PASAR
Fundamental & Katalis:

PSGO membukukan laba bersih Q3 2025 Rp290,5 miliar, naik signifikan YoY, didukung volume penjualan dan efisiensi biaya.​

RUPSLB dijadwalkan 31 Oktober 2025, antisipasi perubahan manajemen & aksi korporasi, fundamental tetap stabil.​

Risiko & Sentimen Negatif:

Harga koreksi hingga -9% akibat profit taking, sinyal tekanan jual kuat, RSI dan CCI oversold; potensi distribusi besar pasca laporan keuangan kuat (buy on rumor, sell on news).​

Direktur Chandra Wilson mundur Agustus, tidak berdampak material tapi jadi alasan profit taking di beberapa batch.​

Sentimen Komunitas/Market:

Forum & heatmap volume retail dominan di area support Rp225–240, sentimen short-term bearish namun antisipasi rebound di lower BB; diskusi scalping & swing aktif pasca koreksi.​

🔥 TEKNIKAL & MOMENTUM (per-timeframe)

Timeframe utama yang dianalisa: 15m & Daily

5m: Candle doji/reversal muncul di support, volume minor, potensi rebound mini.

15m: Sideways bearish, volume mulai naik di support, candle bullish konfirmasi butuh validasi closing.

Daily: Struktur retrace HL, BB lower band, candle pin bar/doji, Stoch RSI oversold rebound, CCI negatif, MACD negative cross, ATR(14) tinggi, RSI=32, OBV turun, ADX 35 (vol high), VPVR HVN di Rp253–263, LVN di Rp230–239.​

✨ STRATEGI TRADING (Scalping)

Timeframe: 5m/15m

Rules entry: Candle bullish confirm di support, volume spike, batch 40% modal TP1, scaling per rebound, trailing 30%.

Order: Limit order di support, scaling di retrace TP1, cut cepat di volume jual dominan.

✨ STRATEGI TRADING (Swing/Hold)

Timeframe: Daily/4H

Rules entry & scaling in: Batch kecil di support major EMA/BB, tambah posisi jika closing bullish di atas Rp245, trailing ATR/EMA, exit TP1/TP2 atau pressure news.

Trailing stop method: ATR-based (±10pt) / EMA cross.

📈 MOMENTUM NAIK/TIDAK?

Kesimpulan: Momentum naik belum dominan, peluang rebound valid dari area support & oversold, indikator mayor (Stoch/CCI/RSI) butuh validasi candle dan volume spike.​

SINYAL:
🚀 Sinyal (Scalping / Swing):
Scalping: Entry di support/candle bullish confirm, TP pendek, SL ketat, scaling jika volume rebound.
Swing: Entry batch kecil, scaling breakout closing di atas Rp245, trailing ATR, exit jika breakdown EMA.

✅ Cocok Untuk: Scalping & Swing — Cocok untuk trader disiplin anti-hold lama, best swing entry di support.

✨ Confident:

Nilai confidence: 63%
Faktor: Laba Q3 kuat, trend koreksi, indikator oversold, volume support valid, risiko distribusi profit taking tinggi.

✨ TIMEFRAME UTAMA:

15m & Daily

📊 INDIKATOR UTAMA:

EMA9/21/50, SMA50/100, VWAP (intraday), MACD(12,26,9), RSI(14), Stoch RSI, ATR(14), OBV, BB(20,2), ADX(14), CCI(14)
Alasan: Validasi trend, risk, detect oversold dan volume spike.

📚 RINGKASAN – [29 Okt 2025]
PSGO koreksi dari swing high paska laporan laba Q3, struktur HL/BB support valid scalping/swing entry, volume support area Rp224–239, momentum rebound berisiko distribusi, TP/SL disiplin wajib.​

DISCLAIMER:
Bukan nasihat keuangan. Selalu gunakan manajemen risiko, position sizing, dan disiplin TP/SL.

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