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$CARS

ENTRY IDEAL & AGRESIF
βœ… ENTRY IDEAL: Rp145–Rp148
(Alasan teknikal singkat: support EMA9/21 dan MA50 Daily, candle bullish reversal, konfirmasi volume akumulasi bid bawah, pivot demand pada lower BB, crossover MA dan squeeze BB, indikator momentum RSI>59, Stoch RSI bullish, OBV sideways bias naik, kontestasi volume datar).​

πŸ”° ENTRY AGRESIF: Rp149–Rp151
(Alasan teknikal: entry breakout di atas resistance minor EMA89/BB upper, candle bullish tebal, spike volume >15% dari rata-rata, harus valid minimal 2 candle bertahan di atas MA50; risiko whipsaw jika close gagal sustain di atas cluster offer dan range upper BB).​

TAKE PROFIT (TP) & STOP LOSS (SL)
πŸ”₯ TAKE PROFIT (TP):
TP1: Rp156
(Alasan singkat: Resistance BB upper dan MA100 Daily, pivot supply mingguan dan distribusi volume top book, target breakout terakhir).​

TP2: Rp160
(Alasan singkat: Supply weekly high, distribusi VPVR volume, top cluster konsolidasi Weekly, area major psychological resistance dan distribusi offer besar).​

🚫 STOP LOSS (SL):
SL: Rp141
(Alasan: Struktur support MA50, ATR14β‰ˆ4pt, rumus Entry–ATR, contoh 145–4=141 buffer candle breakdown, MA50 dan cluster pivot demand).​

πŸ“Š RISK-REWARD PERSENTASE
Dari Entry Ideal (Rp146.5):
TP1: +(156-146.5)/146.5100 = +6.5%
TP2: +(160-146.5)/146.5100 = +9.2%
SL : -(146.5-141)/146.5*100 = -3.8%​

Dari Entry Agresif (Rp150):
TP1: +(156-150)/150100 = +4%
TP2: +(160-150)/150100 = +6.7%
SL : -(150-141)/150*100 = -6%​

πŸ“° ISU, BERITA & SENTIMEN PASAR
Fundamental & Katalis:

CARS rumor ekspansi ke EV dengan Huawei, sentimen positif sektor otomotif dan ekosistem mobil listrik, manajemen siapkan capex Rp53M untuk relokasi dealer dan sistem IT semester II–2025, penetrasi pasar regional 31,5% di tengah daya beli lemah.​

Semester I-2025 pendapatan turun 20,37% YoY, laba Rp72,7M, manajemen revisi target, efisiensi biaya prioritas dan penetrasi MPV/SUV mengarah ke sentimen pemulihan Q4.​

Risiko & Sentimen Negatif:

Komisaris jual 135 juta saham pada 23 Sep (harga Rp140/saham), potensi profit taking atau distribusi, risiko whipsaw dan false breakout sangat tinggi di area resistance; volume retail mendominasi, distribusi cepat jika close gagal di atas upper BB/MA100.​

Sentimen Komunitas/Market:

Komunitas diskusi β€œpantau breakout 151–156”, forum scalping aktif di bid bawah, heatmap transaksi pada area support 145–148, offer besar di 156–160; retail dominan, swing trader masuk batch kecil dengan momentum volume dan candle bullish.​

πŸ”₯ TEKNIKAL & MOMENTUM (per-timeframe)

Timeframe utama yang dianalisa: Daily & 15m

5m: Sideways range 146–149, volume datar, scalping cepat momentum bid.

15m: Reversal bull candle, volume mulai meningkat, TP pendek di range lower BB.

Daily: Struktur uptrend minor HH/HL, EMA9>EMA89>MA50, RSI 59.6, Stoch RSI 36.2 naik, ATR(14)=4pt, BB squeeze, OBV sideways bias naik, MACD positif, VPVR HVN 145–156.​

✨ STRATEGI TRADING (Scalping)

Timeframe: 5m–15m

Entry limit di cluster 145–146, TP cepat batch kecil di 148–151, trailing stop 30%, batch 1=50%, batch 2=30%, sisa trailing breakout spike volume.

Order: Limit di support, market pada momentum breakout.

✨ STRATEGI TRADING (Swing/Hold)

Timeframe: Daily–4h

Entry batch kecil di demand utama, scaling breakout valid di atas 148–151, trailing stop ATR/EMA cross, exit TP bertahap atau breakdown cluster 141.

πŸ“ˆ MOMENTUM NAIK/TIDAK?

Kesimpulan: Ada momentum naik, struktur bullish, volume recovery, rumor EV/Huawei dan capex Q4 2025 jadi katalis, disiplin entry batch kecil dan scaling breakout penting, hati-hati risk distribusi retail dan whipsaw.​

SINYAL:
πŸš€ Sinyal (Scalping / Swing): Scalping di cluster support, swing entry batch scaling breakout area 148+, trigger candle bullish dan volume.​

βœ… Cocok Untuk: Scalping & Swing Batch Kecil
Alasan: Struktur bullish, cluster support kuat, rumor EV & capex pemulihan, risk distribusi retail tetap tinggi, TP/SL disiplin wajib.​

✨ Confident:

Nilai confidence: 63%
Faktor utama: bullish trend cluster, rumor dan capex, distribusi retail, risk profit taking besar, disiplin dan batch kecil mutlak.​

✨ TIMEFRAME UTAMA:

Daily & 15m

πŸ“Š INDIKATOR UTAMA:

EMA9/21/50/89/100/200, BB(20,2), MACD(12,26,9), RSI(14), ATR(14), Stoch RSI, OBV, VPVR HVN/LVN, VWAP, ADX(14), CCI(14).​

πŸ“š RINGKASAN – [12 Okt 2025]
CARS bullish, cluster support MA dan squeeze volume, rumor ekspansi EV/Huawei jadi katalis Q4, scalping-swing batch kecil pada cluster demand, TP/SL disiplin wajib, waspada distribusi retail risk distribusi after breakout.​

DISCLAIMER:
Bukan nasihat keuangan. Selalu gunakan manajemen risiko, position sizing, dan disiplin TP/SL.

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