$SKBM

ENTRY IDEAL & AGRESIF
✅ ENTRY IDEAL: Rp520–Rp530
(Alasan teknikal singkat: support MA524 support base utama, sideways datar didukung akumulasi kecil di area MA, candle merah konsolidasi dengan volume tipis, indikasi bottoming short-term, entry batch kecil di area ini dengan scaling volume konfirmasi.)

🔰 ENTRY AGRESIF: Rp535–Rp550
(Alasan teknikal: entry agresif jika rebound confirm break MA539, candle hijau valid-konfirmasi serta volume spike, risiko false breakout tetap besar, scaling sangat terbatas batch kecil, SL ketat.)

TAKE PROFIT (TP) & STOP LOSS (SL)
🔥 TAKE PROFIT (TP):
TP1: Rp570
(Alasan: resistance minor-atas dalam struktur konsolidasi after swing high terakhir, MA539 resisten psikologis, area gap-down terakhir.)

TP2: Rp600
(Alasan: resistance swing sebelumnya, level psikologis area distribusi, target rally volume jika bounce valid.)

🚫 STOP LOSS (SL):
SL: Rp486
(Alasan: ATR(14) sekitar 25–30 dari entry ideal, support MA486 cluster kedua, jika breakdown support valid, exit all.)

📊 RISK-REWARD PERSENTASE
Dari Entry Ideal (Rp525):
TP1: +8.57% ((570-525)/525100)
TP2: +14.29% ((600-525)/525100)
SL : -7.43% ((486-525)/525*100)

Dari Entry Agresif (Rp542.5):
TP1: +5.08% ((570-542.5)/542.5100)
TP2: +10.62% ((600-542.5)/542.5100)
SL : -10.44% ((486-542.5)/542.5*100)

📰 ISU, BERITA & SENTIMEN PASAR
Fundamental & Katalis:

Laba bersih Q2 2025 naik signifikan ke Rp21,3 miliar (vs rugi Q2 2024), gross margin 21.2%, net margin tipis 1.6%, revenue 6M25 naik >100% yoy, didukung segmen ekspor dan frozen food [Indopremier 30 Jul, SekarBumi 1 Jul].
Risiko & Sentimen Negatif:

Distribusi bandar masih risiko tinggi, net foreign sell -731,5K, volatilitas per week tinggi (20–25%), saham berkarakter 'scalping-relief' post-panic selling.
Sentimen Komunitas/Market:

Komunitas scalper aktif di support MA524, heatmap forum ramai tiap ada spike candle volume, swing trader cenderung nunggu breakout sahih, banyak aksi TP cepat batch.

🔥 TEKNIKAL & MOMENTUM (per-timeframe)

Timeframe utama: 15m & Daily

5m: Sideways datar di cluster support, peluang scalp mini rally pada trigger candle volume.

15m: Konsolidasi, sideways, belum reversal tegas, support kuat MA524, area test major entry.

1h: Struktur bisa beralih bullish kalau konsolidasi bertahan di atas MA524, peluang tinggi untuk scalping cepat.

4h: Konsolidasi strata post-spike, area support menahan tekanan sell, bullish awal jika close >539.

Daily: Koreksi pendek, tutup merah tipis, sideways di support MA524, RSI14 57.91, MACD neutral, volume mulai ramping.

Weekly: Volatilitas tinggi, post-panic selling, base terbentuk.

(Indikator utama & interpretasi: EMA9/21, MA524/486/539, RSI14 (57.91), ATR(14)~30, OBV minor up, MA cluster, volume tipis.)

✨ STRATEGI TRADING (Scalping)

Timeframe: 5m & 15m

Rules entry: Buy limit di MA524 area, trigger candle hijau kecil+volume spike, TP early di TP1/tier trailing batch.

TP/SL & sizing: Batch 1 = 40% entry support, batch 2 = 30% breakout MA539+, trailing batch swing sampai TP2.

Contoh order: Limit buy support MA, exit cepat batch.

✨ STRATEGI TRADING (Swing/Hold)

Timeframe: 1h, 4h, Daily

Rules entry & scaling in: Entry micro batch di base MA524 konsol, scaling up close valid >539, trailing ATR, TP turunkan batch jika candlestick reversal merah besar.

Exit plan: Exit bertahap tiap target TP, exit total jika breakdown 486 (ATR).

📈 MOMENTUM NAIK/TIDAK?

Kesimpulan: Momentum naik terbatas; lebih cocok bounce setup, bukan swing panjang tanpa breakout valid+volume spike. Koreksi melandai, potensi setup scalping di base kuat.

SINYAL:
🚀 Sinyal (Scalping / Swing): Trigger candle hijau mini+volume MA524, swing kecil only jika close >539+volume tinggi.

✅ Cocok Untuk: Scalping relief base, swing pendek jika breakout, tidak cocok hold mid-long.

✨ Confident:

Nilai confidence: 61% — sideways support solid, earning membaik, tapi masih distribusi & volatilitas tinggi.

✨ TIMEFRAME UTAMA:

15m & Daily

📊 INDIKATOR UTAMA:

EMA9/21, MA524/539/486, RSI14 (57.91), ATR(14)(30), OBV, MACD, Volume Profile

📚 RINGKASAN – [02 Okt 2025]
SKBM sideways base strong di MA524, risk relief setup, earning Q2 membaik, distribusi tetap tinggi, best scalping batch trigger candle volume. TP/SL wajib disiplin, confidence 61%.

STRATEGY: Entry di MARKET OPEN (pagi)

Tunggu 1–3 candle 5m, bid spike/candle hijau kecil, entry batch kecil, batch awal max 40%

DISCLAIMER:
Bukan nasihat keuangan. Selalu gunakan manajemen risiko, position sizing, dan disiplin TP/SL.

$DSFI $GGRM