$GTSI

ENTRY IDEAL & AGRESIF
✅ ENTRY IDEAL: Rp89–Rp93
(Alasan teknikal singkat: Support stack EMA9/21/50 & MA100 daily, zona demand dari harga range konsolidasi, volume rebound sering muncul di bawah pivot, candle reversal doji/pin bar sering muncul di level ini, scaling batch kecil jika ada candle hijau konfirmasi; price action maintain di atas support BB lower)

🔰 ENTRY AGRESIF: Rp94–Rp97
(Alasan teknikal: Entry saat breakout atas resistance minor EMA21/BB upper, risiko chasing fakeout jika gagal sustain di atas ~97, entry agresif hanya jika candle hijau panjang plus volume breakout valid; scaling kecil, exit jika breakdown ke EMA9 lagi)

TAKE PROFIT (TP) & STOP LOSS (SL)
🔥 TAKE PROFIT (TP):
TP1: Rp99
(Alasan singkat: Resistance minor & supply BB upper, distribusi aktif orderbook, area profit taking cepat)

TP2: Rp101
(Alasan singkat: Swing high September, cluster distribusi di upper BB dan level psikologis round number, target swing breakout short-term)

🚫 STOP LOSS (SL):
SL: Rp88
(Alasan: Support MA100/ATR(14) sekitar 2, Entry Ideal - ATR ≈ 91–2 = 89, buffer sedikit ke range bawah whipsaw support)

📊 RISK-REWARD PERSENTASE
Dari Entry Ideal (Rp91):
TP1: +(99-91)/91100 ≈ +8,79%
TP2: +(101-91)/91100 ≈ +10,99%
SL : -(91-88)/91*100 ≈ -3,30%

Dari Entry Agresif (Rp95.5):
TP1: +(99-95.5)/95.5100 ≈ +3,67%
TP2: +(101-95.5)/95.5100 ≈ +5,75%
SL : -(95.5-88)/95.5*100 ≈ -7,86%

📰 ISU, BERITA & SENTIMEN PASAR
Fundamental & Katalis:

Laba bersih Q2/2025 tumbuh 44% YoY ke Rp60,9 miliar, pendapatan dan margin profitabilitas terdorong ekspansi armada kapal LNG & diversifikasi bisnis LNG mini plant untuk sektor HOREKA.

GTSI memperkuat posisi nasional dengan program pembelian 3 kapal LNG baru (2025–2026), optimalisasi armada dan ekspansi efisiensi biaya, target pasar LNG dalam negeri plus ekspor support sektor industri gas nasional.

RUPST Juni 2025: dividen interim & final tetap dibagikan, laporan keuangan 2024 disahkan, perusahaan fokus kelanjutan bisnis gas terintegrasi dan logistik LNG.

Risiko & Sentimen Negatif:

Volatilitas tinggi, recent high 111 (September) turun ke bawah 91 akibat profit taking kuat, rawan whipsaw jika market LNG global gap down.

Tekanan distribusi selalu besar di supply BB upper, focus batch kecil dan TP fast.

Sentimen Komunitas/Market:

Bid aktif di 89–93 (demand zone), distribusi aktif di 99–101, forum trader ramai scalping-fast, komunitas retail dominan batch mini, institusi wait di zona demand/TP cepat.

🔥 TEKNIKAL & MOMENTUM (per-timeframe)

Timeframe utama yang dianalisa: 15m, Daily

5m: Volatilitas tinggi, reversal quick di 89–93, scalping & profit taking aktif di opening market.

15m: EMA stack datar, BB upper band lebar, volume mulai rebound, RSI(14): 59,34 (neutral up).

1h: Konsolidasi short-range HH/HL, price action scalping cepat profit taking.

4h: Konsolidasi setelah swing down, setup swing turnaround terlihat.

Daily: ATR(14): ~2, OBV netral, BB squeeze mid-range, breakout akan mendorong short rally, candle merah/hijau bersusulan, trend harian HH/HL mini.

Weekly: Sisa trend up medium, breakout baru perlu volume.

(Indikator utama: EMA9/21/50/100, MA50/100/200, VWAP, MACD(12,26,9), RSI(14): 59.34, ATR(14), OBV neutral, BB(20,2), ADX & CCI moderate bullish, VPVR HVN 91–99.)

✨ STRATEGI TRADING (Scalping)

Timeframe: 5m, 15m

Rules entry: Batch mini di demand 89–93, scalping TP cepat 99, trailing SL ATR-based break support.

TP/SL & sizing: Batch 1=60% modal di area TP1, batch scaling breakout valid, trailing 20%.

Contoh order: Limit bid area, scaling fast market, exit jika ada candle merah volume besar.

✨ STRATEGI TRADING (Swing/Hold)

Timeframe: 1h, Daily

Rules entry & scaling in: Batch mini konsolidasi, scaling up breakout >97 valid volume tinggi, batch tambah jika dua daily close hijau berturut.

Trailing stop method: ATR-based/EMA cross, trailing naik pada candle breakout.

Exit plan per TP/tekanan berita: Exit batch TP resistance, trailing jika distribusi/berita negatif.

📈 MOMENTUM NAIK/TIDAK?

Kesimpulan: Momentum naik only scalping rebound, teknikal daily masih support HH/HL mini, fundametal Q2 strong, harus disiplin batch kecil & trailing TP/SL ketat, bukan trend-follow besar.

SINYAL:
🚀 Sinyal Scalping: Entry 89–93 support, TP 99/101, SL ATR, scaling breakout volume.
🚀 Sinyal Swing: Entry batch kecil, scaling valid close >97, trailing ATR.

✅ Cocok Untuk: Scalping & Mini Swing — volume tinggi, profit taking intens, TP/SL mini sangat ketat.

✨ Confident:

Nilai confidence: 65% — technical rebound nyata, profit Q2 naik, risk whipsaw profit taking tinggi.

✨ TIMEFRAME UTAMA:

15m, Daily

📊 INDIKATOR UTAMA:

EMA9/21/50/100, MA50/100/200, VWAP, MACD(12,26,9), RSI(14), ATR(14), OBV, BB(20,2), VPVR.

📚 RINGKASAN – [01 Okt 2025]

GTSI rebound di support demand, Q2 laba +44%, armada LNG baru & ekspansi diversifikasi, TP batch mini scalping/swing, trailing wajib, bukan trend major hold.

STRATEGY: Entry di MARKET OPEN (pagi)

Tunggu 1–3 candle awal, entry batch kecil support, scaling breakout quick, trailing SL, exposure awal ≤40%.

$COIN $IMPC