Full breakdown of the ownership changes and price changes between 2024 and 2025 for the four major Indonesian banks ($BBCA, $BBRI, $BMRI, BBNI):
๐ 1. BBCA
Local ownership: 6.62% โ 7.63%
๐ผ Change: +1.01% โ +15.26% increase
Foreign ownership: 35.93% โ 34.92%
๐ฝ Change: โ1.01% โ โ2.81% decrease
Price: 9,825 โ 8,600
๐ฝ Change: โ1,225 โ โ12.47% decrease
๐ 2. BBRI
Local ownership: 12.73% โ 16.70%
๐ผ Change: +3.97% โ +31.19% increase
Foreign ownership: 34.07% โ 30.11%
๐ฝ Change: โ3.96% โ โ11.62% decrease
Price: 4,790 โ 3,680
๐ฝ Change: โ1,110 โ โ23.17% decrease
๐ 3. BMRI
Local ownership: 14.53% โ 16.67%
๐ผ Change: +2.14% โ +14.72% increase
Foreign ownership: 33.47% โ 31.33%
๐ฝ Change: โ2.14% โ โ6.39% decrease
Price: 6,250 โ 4,740
๐ฝ Change: โ1,510 โ โ24.16% decrease
๐ 4. BBNI
Local ownership: 13.60% โ 15.88%
๐ผ Change: +2.28% โ +16.76% increase
Foreign ownership: 26.38% โ 24.10%
๐ฝ Change: โ2.28% โ โ8.64% decrease
Price: 4,710 โ 3,970
๐ฝ Change: โ740 โ โ15.71% decrease
We can see that all foreign ownership dropped, while local ownership rose
To check for correlation between ownership and price change, we can use Pearson correlation coefficients (r) between:
ฮ Local % vs ฮ Price %
ฮ Foreign % vs ฮ Price %
We can see the visualized correlations below :
๐ Left chart: A weak negative correlation between local ownership increase and price drop (r = โ0.40). The price tends to fall slightly even as local ownership rises.
๐ Right chart: A strong positive correlation between foreign ownership decrease and price drop (r = +0.92). The more foreign investors pull out, the more the stock price falls.
This suggests that foreign investor sentiment plays a major role in price movements for these major Indonesian banks