2025 Indonesia economic & investment outlook : I'm sorry.
it will be bad
be prepared to experienced growth slow down and some months with contractions.
growth distributions and national stimulus package concentrated among sectors where oligarchs and the gang invests heavily.
APBN deficit widening, inefficiency everywhere.
only invests in winning companies w/:
- price to fair value gap
- significant growth with solid leading indicators
- fair GCG , even better with huge expansion capex relative to its market cap
- relatively rely more on domestic/local liquidity , not foreign. Avoid big market caps.
- visible expansion/development roadmap
- solid keystats, sound GPM OPM NPM, ROE-ROA, low DER preferable
- historically good price performance/chart, responding(aligned) to its financial and fundamental performance
- visible / solid competency / operational excellence on its core business
- decent competitive advantage, assess w/5 forces & VRIO
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$IHSG $MAPA $CASS