OIL & GAS
$DIALOG / 7277 (DIALOG GROUP BERHAD) $PETDAG / 5681 (PETRONAS DAGANGAN BHD) $VELESTO / 5243 (VELESTO ENERGY BERHAD)
Research by Kenanga
Overweight
“Opportunities in Mid-stream and Upstream”
We maintain OVERWEIGHT on the sector. We keep our Brent crude oil price forecasts at USD84/bbl and USD79/bbl for CY24 and CY25 based on the assumption that OPEC+ will discontinue production cuts by the end of CY24 and gradually ramp up production in CY25. These oil price levels are supportive of local upstream investment, especially considering the under-investment by producers in the early 2020s. We favor owners of offshore supply vessel (OSV) and jack-up rigs on favourable rates on the back of a supply crunch and the midstream storage segment due to arbitrage opportunities arisng from a contango in the oil market and oil traders having to structurally hold higher inventories as part of supply-chain risk management amidst heightened geo-political tensions.
Analyst(s):
Lim Sin Kiat, CFA
limsk@kenanga.com.my