Superior Prima Sukses Tbk

@Riidwan God$BLES YOU

$BLES Cocok untuk all in di sini palign 1-2 tahun lagi keliatan growth nya. Sales blesscon di kota Malang sudah rame sebar "Banner" untuk di pajang di toko bangunan

$BLES

ada support disini
entry sampai 220
SL 216

$BLES main santai aja. gaperlu tiap hari, tiap jam, tiap menit mantau olt. perusahaan bagus, sehat, owner-nya gak kaleng kaleng. tidur dulu aja kawan.

$BLES ☄️

$BLES come one

$BLES emiten paling pelit

Makin Am$BLES makin $BLES

📊 Prospek Cerah! $DGWG Ekspansi Bisnis Pupuk & Agrokimia 📊

PT Delta Giri Wacana Tbk (DGWG) optimistis meningkatkan pendapatan dari bisnis pupuk dan agrokimia. Dengan industri agro input yang kian prospektif di 2025, DGWG memperluas fasilitas produksi dan menargetkan pertumbuhan pendapatan 16% serta laba bersih 27% tahun depan.

📌 DGWG telah mengalokasikan capex Rp 133 miliar untuk ekspansi pabrik pupuk & pestisida. Perusahaan juga membangun jaringan distribusi hingga ke luar negeri, menargetkan ekspor ke ASEAN, China, dan Brasil.

🔥 Simak strategi lengkapnya di: https://cutt.ly/AryMux4M

$MOLI $BLES

$BLES pasukan pucuk mana suaranya😂😂💩

$BLES Makan Ndar tuh jemuran... biar kaya Kakakmu $AVIA

$BLES Hmmm cakep sih ini

$BLES Kesini lagi yuk sebelum Q4 keluar 🤔🙄

$BLES

### 📉 Analisis Saham $BLES (Superior Prima Sukses Tbk.)
⏳ **Penutupan terakhir:** 226 (-3.42%) → Harga menunjukkan penurunan, menandakan potensi bearish jangka pendek.

🔍 **Indikator Teknis**
1️⃣ **Trendline & Moving Average (MA)**
- **MA20:** 246 (Harga di bawah MA20, menandakan potensi bearish jangka pendek.)
- **MA50:** 250 (Harga di bawah MA50, menunjukkan tekanan bearish.)
- **MA200:** 257 (Harga di bawah MA200, indikasi bearish jangka panjang.)

2️⃣ **Fibonacci Retracement & Pivot Points**
- **Support:**
- **S1:** 226 (Support saat ini, jika breakdown bisa turun lebih dalam.)
- **S2:** 218 (Support berikutnya yang harus diperhatikan.)
- **S3:** 210 (Support kuat yang perlu diwaspadai.)
- **Resistance:**
- **R1:** 236 (Resistance pertama, jika breakout bisa melanjutkan kenaikan.)
- **R2:** 246 (Jika bisa breakout, ada peluang untuk melanjutkan tren bullish.)
- **R3:** 256 (Target lebih tinggi jika tren tetap bullish.)

3️⃣ **Ichimoku Cloud**
☁️ Harga berada di bawah awan Ichimoku, mengindikasikan tren bearish yang kuat. Belum ada tanda-tanda pembalikan arah.

4️⃣ **MACD**
📊 Histogram MACD negatif dan menunjukkan tekanan jual, dengan MACD Line di bawah Signal Line. Jika MACD Line bisa crossover ke atas Signal Line, ini bisa menjadi sinyal bullish.

5️⃣ **Volume & Net Foreign**
📊 Volume transaksi: 5.483M (cukup tinggi, menunjukkan minat jual yang meningkat).
📉 Net Foreign Sell: -404.491M (Investor asing melakukan distribusi, menekan harga lebih rendah.)

6️⃣ **RSI & Stochastic**
- **RSI (14):** 26.5 (Menunjukkan kondisi oversold, memberikan potensi untuk rebound.)
- **Stochastic:** 34 (Menunjukkan kondisi netral, memberikan ruang untuk pergerakan lebih lanjut.)

📉 **Level Penting**
✅ **Bullish scenario:**
- Jika harga bertahan di atas 226, bisa ada rebound ke 236-246.
- Jika breakout 256, bisa lanjut ke 260-270.

🚨 **Bearish scenario:**
- Jika breakdown 226, bisa turun ke 218 atau lebih rendah.
- Jika breakdown 210, potensi downtrend lebih panjang ke 200.

🎯 **Kesimpulan & Potensi**
🔹 **Potensi Bullish:**
✅ Jika ada pantulan dari support kuat di 226.
✅ Jika MACD menunjukkan momentum bullish yang kuat.
✅ Jika harga bisa kembali di atas 236, ada peluang bullish recovery.

🔻 **Potensi Bearish:**
🚨 Harga masih di bawah MA20 dan MA50, tren jangka pendek masih perlu diperhatikan.
🚨 Volume besar tetapi didominasi tekanan jual dari investor asing.
🚨 Stochastic menunjukkan kondisi oversold, ada risiko pembalikan.

📌 **Rekomendasi**
🔹 **Untuk Trader:**
- Buy on weakness di 226 jika ada pantulan.
- Target jual di 236-246.
- Cut loss jika turun di bawah 210.

🔹 **Untuk Investor:**
- Wait and see, karena tren masih perlu diperhatikan.
- Jika harga kembali di atas 256, bisa pertimbangkan masuk.

📊 **Kesimpulan:**
Saham BLES menunjukkan penurunan (-3.42%), dan saat ini berada di sekitar support S1 (226). Jika harga bertahan di atas level ini, ada potensi untuk rebound. Namun, jika terjadi breakdown di bawah 218, perlu waspada terhadap potensi penurunan lebih lanjut. 🚀

$CLEO - Bisa dapetin preliminary info ttg CLEO dan industri nya. Lngsng dibikinin thesis nya disini. Pak Martabak Wisman dari PT ChatGPT Indonesia Sekuritas.

Model prompt ini bisa juga dipake utk saham2 paling eksotis di bursa yang gak ada satu pun analis sekuritas berani pegang 😂

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PT Sariguna Primatirta Tbk (CLEO)

Initiation of Coverage · Consumer Staples Sector · Indonesia

Rating: BUY | Target Price: IDR 6,200 | Current Price: IDR 1,315 (as of Feb 28, 2025)
Upside Potential: 371% | Analyst: Martabak Wisman | Date: Mar 2, 2025

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Investment Thesis

CLEO is Indonesia’s fastest-growing bottled water company, benefiting from the structural shift towards healthier beverages, increasing disposable incomes, and a rapidly expanding distribution network. With a dominant position in the premium and value bottled water segments, strong brand equity, and an asset-light business model, CLEO is poised for exponential growth.

Our target price of IDR 6,200 is derived using the Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) method and reflects a 371% upside from the current price.

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Key Investment Highlights

Market Leader in Indonesia’s Fast-Growing Bottled Water Industry

CLEO is one of Indonesia’s largest bottled water producers, capitalizing on the country’s increasing demand for healthier beverages. Indonesia’s bottled water market is projected to grow at a CAGR of 12.3% over the next five years, reaching IDR 90 trillion by 2028. CLEO’s sales volume growth consistently outpaces the industry, rising 21.5% YoY in 2023 compared to the industry’s 9.8%. The company holds a 15% market share in the premium bottled water segment, while its value segment brands are rapidly gaining traction. With nationwide distribution and continued expansion into modern retail and e-commerce, CLEO is well-positioned to capture a larger share of this high-growth market.

Explosive Revenue and Earnings Growth

CLEO has demonstrated industry-leading revenue and earnings growth, driven by aggressive expansion and strong operational efficiencies. Revenue surged 32.4% YoY in FY2023 to IDR 3.8 trillion, supported by higher sales volume and premiumization trends. Net income grew by 45.6% to IDR 780 billion, with a net margin expansion from 18.2% in FY2022 to 20.5% in FY2023. With economies of scale, further cost optimization, and robust sales momentum, we forecast FY2025 revenue to reach IDR 6.3 trillion and net income to hit IDR 1.5 trillion, representing a CAGR of 21.8% over the next three years.

Scalable, Asset-Light Business Model Enhancing Profitability

Unlike traditional beverage companies, CLEO operates a highly scalable, asset-light model with outsourced logistics and lean production. This allows the company to maintain industry-leading gross margins of 47.5%, significantly higher than its peers’ average of 35-40%. CLEO’s strategic focus on direct-to-retail distribution and exclusive partnerships with large retailers has also improved operational efficiency, resulting in a declining cost-to-income ratio of 39.8% in FY2023, down from 42.1% in FY2022. With continuous cost optimization initiatives and supply chain digitization, profitability is expected to strengthen further.

Strong Brand Positioning and Expanding Distribution Network

CLEO’s brand strength is a key differentiator in the competitive bottled water landscape. Its flagship product, Cleo Pure Water, is recognized for superior quality and purity, driving high consumer preference. The company’s distribution network spans over 100,000 retail outlets nationwide, with rapid expansion into Tier 2 and Tier 3 cities, where bottled water penetration remains low. The company has also made significant inroads in online sales, with digital channels contributing 15% of total revenue in 2023, up from 8% in 2021. As modern retail penetration increases and consumer trends favor premium bottled water, CLEO is well-positioned for sustained growth.

Favorable Macroeconomic and Health Trends Driving Demand

The shift towards healthier consumption habits, rising disposable incomes, and rapid urbanization are strong tailwinds for CLEO’s growth. Indonesia’s GDP is expected to grow at 5.4% in 2025, while rising health awareness has led to increased demand for clean and safe drinking water. The government’s push for improved public health standards further supports the industry’s expansion. Additionally, CLEO’s commitment to sustainability and eco-friendly packaging aligns with evolving consumer preferences, strengthening its long-term market positioning.

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Valuation Methodology

We derive our IDR 6,200 target price using a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) model, reflecting a 371% upside from the current price of IDR 1,315.

- We assume a Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) of 11.5%, incorporating a risk-free rate of 7.0%, an equity risk premium of 6%, and a beta of 1.1.

- Our free cash flow (FCF) projections grow at a CAGR of 22% over the next five years, driven by strong revenue growth and operational efficiencies.

- Our terminal growth rate is estimated at 5.0%, supported by CLEO’s continued market expansion and increasing consumer demand.

- Our base-case scenario projects FY2025 EPS of IDR 260, with an implied forward P/E of 23.8x, which remains attractive given CLEO’s high growth potential.

With a dominant market position, strong profitability, and significant expansion opportunities, CLEO presents a compelling high-growth investment case, warranting a BUY rating.

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Risks to Our Investment Thesis

1. Competition and Market Saturation – The bottled water industry remains highly competitive, with established players such as Aqua (Danone) and Le Minerale posing potential threats to CLEO’s market share.

2. Raw Material Price Volatility – Fluctuations in PET resin and packaging costs could impact gross margins, particularly if CLEO is unable to pass costs onto consumers.

3. Regulatory Risks – Changes in government policies, such as stricter environmental regulations on plastic packaging, could increase compliance costs.

4. Supply Chain Disruptions – Logistical challenges, including transportation cost inflation and distribution bottlenecks, could affect profitability and market expansion.

5. Economic Slowdowns – A broader economic downturn could weaken consumer spending, impacting volume growth and revenue projections.

$AVIA $BLES

wowkwowk kena gorok di $BLES , sama ane pun di karungin 🤣

$BLES stop los aja dari pada di karungin 🤣🤣🤣

$BLES gorok dulu sampe bawah 200 sih biar marem

$BLES Ada program 3jt rumah/ tahun, ini kenapa malah longsor yak

$BLES huft

$BLES kesini dulu pak de

$BLES tolong dong 💹🧐 $MLPT dan $DCII

$BLES ini yg bawa tabung viral ya

$BLES luama skali naiknya .. 😅 kuat2 an mental .. bener uang dingin si HT

$BLES anak2 nya Tanoko suka pake XL buat beli2